Match Info

LITHUANIA: LKL

Date: 1 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Pieno zvaigzdziu arena (Pasvalys)


	Pieno Zvaigzdes		Jonava

	1	2
	2	1.7
	2.04	1.71	Watch
	2.13	1.71
	2.14	1.72
	1.91	1.8
	2.12	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.95)	1.71 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pieno Zvaigzdes
45.5%

Jonava
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pieno Zvaigzdes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Jonava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pieno Zvaigzdes than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Pieno Zvaigzdes - Jonava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Arlauskas M.	12. Furmanavicius J. (C)
44. Jack K.	1. Larson R.
13. Jarumbauskas S.	21. Marinkovic I.
9. Lekunas T.	4. Micovic S.
1. Watson J.	9. Seskus E.
Substitutes
15. Ate A. (C)	23. Drame O.
4. Doualla D.	0. Garrett D.
25. Johnson D.	8. Kreismontas L.
7. Sidarevicius A.	2. Mazeika G.
11. Simonis A.	11. Stankevicius T.
14. Valantinas L.
Coaches
. Jasilionis A.	. Seskus V.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pieno Zvaigzdes won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

Jonava could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Pieno Zvaigzdes have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Pieno Zvaigzdes won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 910-938.

Including matches at home between the teams Pieno Zvaigzdes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 523-521.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pieno Zvaigzdes
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
27.04.24	Neptūnas - Pieno Zvaigzdes	77:88 ✺
20.04.24	BC Wolves - Pieno Zvaigzdes	111:79 ✺
16.04.24	Lietkabelis - Pieno Zvaigzdes	90:63 ✺
13.04.24	Pieno Zvaigzdes - Juventus Utena	83:89 ✺
07.04.24	Šiauliai - Pieno Zvaigzdes	98:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLLLL
- Jonava BC
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
28.04.24	Jonava - Rytas	85:98 ✺
21.04.24	Žalgiris Kaunas - Jonava	101:57 ✺
18.04.24	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Jonava	116:83 ✺
14.04.24	Mažeikiai - Jonava	62:79 ✺
08.04.24	Jonava - Neptūnas	78:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
16.12.23	Jonava - Pieno Zvaigzdes	84:89
08.10.23	Pieno Zvaigzdes - Jonava	92:93
02.05.23	Pieno Zvaigzdes - Jonava	98:100 OT
06.03.23	Jonava - Pieno Zvaigzdes	84:77
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
23.11.22	Pieno Zvaigzdes - Jonava	76:80
26.10.22	Jonava - Pieno Zvaigzdes	81:70
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
10.10.22	Pieno Zvaigzdes - Jonava	90:92

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