Match Info

LITHUANIA: LKL

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Pieno Zvaigzdes		Neptūnas

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.4
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.92	1.4
	2.92	1.4
	2.62	1.44
	2.84	1.38	Watch
	1.62	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.4)	1.51 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 177.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pieno Zvaigzdes
36.5%

Neptūnas
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pieno Zvaigzdes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pieno Zvaigzdes than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Pieno Zvaigzdes - Neptūnas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:92

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pieno Zvaigzdes won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Pieno Zvaigzdes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Neptūnas have a series of guest games.

Neptūnas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 45 head-to-head matches Pieno Zvaigzdes won 13 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 30 matches and goals 3403-3695.

Including matches at home between the teams Pieno Zvaigzdes won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 1621-1762.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pieno Zvaigzdes
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
27.11.23	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Pieno Zvaigzdes	90:91 OT ✺
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
23.11.23	Pieno Zvaigzdes - Šiauliai	76:100 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
18.11.23	Pieno Zvaigzdes - BC Wolves	88:91 ✺
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
16.11.23	Pieno Zvaigzdes - Nevėžis Kedainiai	80:92 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
12.11.23	Šiauliai - Pieno Zvaigzdes	91:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLW
- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Lietuvos NKL
02.12.23	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Neptūnas	85:83 ✺
30.11.23	Neptūnas - Šilutė	76:68 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
27.11.23	Žalgiris Kaunas - Neptūnas	76:88 ✺
Lietuvos NKL
25.11.23	Jurbarkas-Karys - Neptūnas	88:75 ✺
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
23.11.23	Juventus Utena - Neptūnas	92:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
15.10.23	Neptūnas - Pieno Zvaigzdes	112:87
22.04.23	Pieno Zvaigzdes - Neptūnas	78:87
05.02.23	Pieno Zvaigzdes - Neptūnas	91:85
03.10.22	Neptūnas - Pieno Zvaigzdes	91:92 OT (78:78)
24.04.22	Pieno Zvaigzdes - Neptūnas	69:82
12.04.22	Neptūnas - Pieno Zvaigzdes	91:95
26.09.21	Neptūnas - Pieno Zvaigzdes	75:71

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