Match Info

LBP - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Salitre Coliseum (Bogotá)


	Piratas de Bogotá		Paisas de Medellín

	1	2
	2.6	1.42
	2.45	1.45	Watch
	2.42	1.5	Watch
	2.34	1.48
	2.45	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.4)	1.46 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piratas de Bogotá
37.3%

Paisas de Medellín
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piratas de Bogotá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Paisas de Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piratas de Bogotá than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paisas de Medellín than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Piratas de Bogotá - Paisas de Medellín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Blanco D.	24. Cole V.
3. Gedeon A.	8. Lamar A.
13. Pena R. (C)	1. Lozano Toro J. D. (C)
10. Quintero J.	9. Pena A.
8. Soler F.	23. Weatherspoon B.
Substitutes
30. Cortes S.	15. Carmona A.
15. Hurtado J.	5. Johnson N.
69. Parra M.	55. Lozada M.
6. Ramirez R.	4. Ojeda D.
24. Riascos M.	21. Serna S.
17. Solis E.
1. Trocha M.
Coaches
. Tapias J.	. Seoane D.

Preview

Paisas leads series 1-0. 2nd leg.

Piratas is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Paisas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Piratas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Paisas has had a series of away games.

Paisas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Piratas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 365:376. (average 91.3:94).

Including home matches between the teams, Piratas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 192:195. (average 96:97.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piratas de Bogotá
Colombian LBP Basketball
06.06.25	Piratas de Bogotá - Paisas de Medellín	97:102 ✺
04.06.25	Caimanes del Llano - Piratas de Bogotá	70:60 ✺
03.06.25	Caimanes del Llano - Piratas de Bogotá	99:82 ✺
01.06.25	Piratas de Bogotá - Caimanes del Llano	83:67 ✺
31.05.25	Piratas de Bogotá - Caimanes del Llano	61:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL
- Paisas de Medellín
Colombian LBP Basketball
06.06.25	Piratas de Bogotá - Paisas de Medellín	97:102 ✺
31.05.25	Sabios de Manizales - Paisas de Medellín	73:88 ✺
30.05.25	Sabios de Manizales - Paisas de Medellín	81:77 ✺
27.05.25	Toros del Valle - Paisas de Medellín	61:78 ✺
26.05.25	Toros del Valle - Paisas de Medellín	91:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian LBP Basketball
06.06.25	Piratas de Bogotá - Paisas de Medellín	97:102
25.11.24	Paisas de Medellín - Piratas de Bogotá	94:87
24.11.24	Paisas de Medellín - Piratas de Bogotá	87:86
11.10.24	Piratas de Bogotá - Paisas de Medellín	95:93

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