Match Info

Serie A2 - Play Out - Semi-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: PalaCarrara (Pistoia) 🌤️ ...


	Pistoia Basket		Ruvo di Puglia

	1	2
	1.56	2.3
	1.48	2.35
	1.51	2.56
	1.53	2.33	Watch
			Watch
	1.47	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.45)	2.41 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoia Basket
61.5%

Ruvo di Puglia
38.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoia Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ruvo di Puglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoia Basket than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruvo di Puglia than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Pistoia Basket - Ruvo di Puglia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
64. Alajiki S.
31. Anderson K.
9. Dellosto N.
5. Gallo F.
4. Stefanini G.

Preview

Pistoia leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Pistoia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pistoia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 422:426. (average 84.4:85.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Pistoia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 158:160. (average 79:80).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
9	Pistoia	6	3	3	469:419	6
15	Ruvo Di Puglia	6	2	4	475:508	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pistoia Basket 2000
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
08.05.26	Pistoia Basket - Ruvo di Puglia	79:78 ✺
05.05.26	Ruvo di Puglia - Pistoia Basket	90:97 ✺
03.05.26	Ruvo di Puglia - Pistoia Basket	100:85 ✺
26.04.26	Baltur Cento - Pistoia Basket	99:86 ✺
19.04.26	Pistoia Basket - Brindisi	79:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWLLW
- Pallacanestro Ruvo di Puglia
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
08.05.26	Pistoia Basket - Ruvo di Puglia	79:78 ✺
05.05.26	Ruvo di Puglia - Pistoia Basket	90:97 ✺
03.05.26	Ruvo di Puglia - Pistoia Basket	100:85 ✺
26.04.26	Brindisi - Ruvo di Puglia	74:76 ✺
19.04.26	Ruvo di Puglia - Juvi Cremona	100:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
08.05.26	Pistoia Basket - Ruvo di Puglia	79:78
05.05.26	Ruvo di Puglia - Pistoia Basket	90:97
03.05.26	Ruvo di Puglia - Pistoia Basket	100:85
04.01.26	Pistoia Basket - Ruvo di Puglia	79:82
12.10.25	Ruvo di Puglia - Pistoia Basket	76:82

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