Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 30

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: PalaCarrara (Pistoia)


	Pistoia Basket		Scafati

	1	2
	2.7	1.42
	2.6	1.42
	2.55	1.4
	3.02	1.38
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.77	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.85)	1.41 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoia Basket
34.1%

Scafati
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoia Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Scafati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoia Basket than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scafati than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Pistoia Basket - Scafati Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Anderson K.	25. Allen T.
25. Buva I.	7. Iannuzzi A.
5. Gallo F.	33. Mascolo B.
15. Saccaggi L.	18. Mollura M.
41. Zanotti S.	5. Walker C.
Substitutes
12. Campogrande L.	40. Bartoli S.
14. Cosimo F.	77. Caroti L.
9. Dellosto N.	6. Chiera A.
18. Magro D.	31. Italiano N.
4. Stefanini G.	21. Nobili N.
6. Stoch F.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pistoia won 1.

Pistoia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Scafati has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Scafati may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Scafati is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Pistoia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 622:677. (average 77.8:84.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Pistoia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 234:248. (average 78:82.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
14	Pistoia	2	0	2	139:147	0

Last Results with these Odds

Scafati - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 66.74%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pistoia Basket 2000
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
01.03.26	Roseto Sharks - Pistoia Basket	87:71 ✺
21.02.26	Mestre - Pistoia Basket	90:85 ✺
15.02.26	Pistoia Basket - Urania Milano	72:80 ✺
08.02.26	Pistoia Basket - Forlì	78:73 ✺
01.02.26	Fortitudo Bologna - Pistoia Basket	81:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL
- Scafati Basket
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
22.02.26	Verona - Scafati	76:61 ✺
15.02.26	Scafati - Basket Pesaro	84:79 ✺
11.02.26	Juvi Cremona - Scafati	76:79 ✺
07.02.26	Scafati - Roseto Sharks	97:75 ✺
31.01.26	Mestre - Scafati	81:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
23.11.25	Scafati - Pistoia Basket	77:71
Italian Lega A Basketball
08.02.25	Pistoia Basket - Scafati	89:91
14.12.24	Scafati - Pistoia Basket	107:102 OT
20.01.24	Pistoia Basket - Scafati	78:71
15.10.23	Scafati - Pistoia Basket	85:77
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
16.04.22	Scafati - Pistoia Basket	82:71
Italian Serie A2 Red Basketball
21.02.21	Pistoia Basket - Scafati	67:86

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