Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 28

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: PalaCarrara (Pistoia)


	Pistoia Basket		Urania Milano

	1	2
	1.56	2.3
	1.55	2.2
	1.63	2.27
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.61)	2.26 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoia Basket
59%

Urania Milano
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoia Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Urania Milano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoia Basket than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urania Milano than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Pistoia Basket - Urania Milano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Anderson K.	6. Amato A.
25. Buva I.	34. Cavallero M.
5. Gallo F.	5. Gentile A.
15. Saccaggi L.	22. Morse A.
41. Zanotti S.	1. Taylor K.
Substitutes
8. Alessandrini N.	13. D’Almeida U.
12. Campogrande L.	7. Lupusor I.
9. Dellosto N.	36. Morgillo A.
18. Magro D.	11. Rashed M.
4. Stefanini G.	43. Sabatini G.
6. Stoch F.
Coaches
. Sacripanti S.	. Cardani M.

Preview

Pistoia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Urania Milano has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Urania Milano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pistoia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pistoia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 240:242. (average 80:80.7).

Including home match between the teams, Pistoia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 90:81.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
13	Urania Milano	2	0	2	149:154	0
14	Pistoia	2	0	2	139:147	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pistoia Basket 2000
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
08.02.26	Pistoia Basket - Forlì	78:73 ✺
01.02.26	Fortitudo Bologna - Pistoia Basket	81:61 ✺
25.01.26	Pistoia Basket - Rieti	85:86 OT ✺
21.01.26	Juvi Cremona - Pistoia Basket	81:68 ✺
18.01.26	Pistoia Basket - Verona	67:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLL
- Urania Milano
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
07.02.26	Urania Milano - Cividale	90:80 ✺
01.02.26	Roseto Sharks - Urania Milano	62:76 ✺
24.01.26	Urania Milano - Forlì	99:81 ✺
21.01.26	Fortitudo Bologna - Urania Milano	83:73 ✺
17.01.26	Brindisi - Urania Milano	86:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
12.11.25	Urania Milano - Pistoia Basket	92:77
19.02.22	Urania Milano - Pistoia Basket	69:73
14.11.21	Pistoia Basket - Urania Milano	90:81 OT (78:78)

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