Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 24

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: PalaCarrara (Pistoia)


	Pistoia Basket		Rieti

	1	2
	2.3	1.56
	2.25	1.53
	2.31	1.62
	2.25	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.27	1.56	Watch
	2.3	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.25)	1.57 (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoia Basket
40.7%

Rieti
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoia Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Rieti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoia Basket than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rieti than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Pistoia Basket - Rieti Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pistoia will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Rieti will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pistoia: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pistoia Basket will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Buva I.	22. Hogue D.
22. Johnson J.	29. Mian F.
18. Magro D.	13. Piccin L.
15. Saccaggi L.	2. Piunti G.
4. Stefanini G.	27. Udom L.
Substitutes
8. Alessandrini N.	8. Guariglia T.
12. Campogrande L.	98. Paesano A.
9. Dellosto N.	5. Palumbo M.
5. Gallo F.	7. Pascolo D.
14. Pinelli G.	11. Perry D.
6. Stoch F.
41. Zanotti S.

Preview

Pistoia has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rieti is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pistoia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rieti could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pistoia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 223:225. (average 74.3:75).

Including home match between the teams, Pistoia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 68:81.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Sebastiani Rieti	2	2	0	160:137	4
14	Pistoia	2	0	2	139:147	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pistoia Basket 2000
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
21.01.26	Juvi Cremona - Pistoia Basket	81:68 ✺
18.01.26	Pistoia Basket - Verona	67:81 ✺
11.01.26	Avellino Basket - Pistoia Basket	99:94 OT ✺
04.01.26	Pistoia Basket - Ruvo di Puglia	79:82 ✺
28.12.25	Rimini - Pistoia Basket	95:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- NPC Rieti
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
21.01.26	Rieti - Rimini	83:65 ✺
17.01.26	Forlì - Rieti	82:86 OT ✺
09.01.26	Rieti - Cividale	82:54 ✺
04.01.26	Baltur Cento - Rieti	89:82 ✺
28.12.25	Rieti - Fortitudo Bologna	68:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
19.10.25	Rieti - Pistoia Basket	73:88
Italian Serie A2 Red Basketball
31.01.21	Pistoia Basket - Rieti	68:81
22.11.20	Rieti - Pistoia Basket	71:67

Pistoia Basket - Rieti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide