Match Info

MEXICO: LNBP

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Gimnasio Solidaridad (Fresnillo)


	Plateros de Fresnillo		Diablos Rojos del Mexico

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.4
	1.4	2.65
	1.43	2.63
	1.41	2.63	Watch
	1.44	2.65
	1.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.54)	2.6 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plateros de Fresnillo
64.6%

Diablos Rojos del Mexico
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plateros de Fresnillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plateros de Fresnillo's performance.

Diablos Rojos del Mexico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diablos Rojos del Mexico might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plateros de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plateros de Fresnillo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diablos Rojos del Mexico than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diablos Rojos del Mexico could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Plateros de Fresnillo - Diablos Rojos del Mexico Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bryson M.	31. Avila J.
35. Matias A.	27. Giron D.
13. McClenton D.	8. Gonzalez L.
22. Vazquez F.	12. Holmes A. (C)
1. White T. (C)	44. Ibarra J.
Substitutes
32. Anderson J.	2. Bonilla Y.
4. Argomaniz M.	7. Cruz J.
11. Bustamante R.	3. Harrison A.
12. Collier D.	28. Martinez I.
2. Harvey C.	6. Scala S.
15. Higuera S.	22. Smith M.
23. Martinez J.	35. Tavares M.

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ LNBP (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LNBP (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Plateros is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Diablos Rojos is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Plateros could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Plateros will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Plateros to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Plateros won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 84-93.

Including matches at home between the teams Plateros won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 84-93.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plateros de Fresnillo
Mexican LNBP
13.09.24	Plateros de Fresnillo - Diablos Rojos del Mexico	84:93 ✺
06.09.24	Abejas de León - Plateros de Fresnillo	89:92 OT ✺
05.09.24	Abejas de León - Plateros de Fresnillo	85:95 ✺
24.08.24	Plateros de Fresnillo - Santos del Potosí	88:83 ✺
23.08.24	Plateros de Fresnillo - Santos del Potosí	91:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWW
- Diablos Rojos del México Basketball
Mexican LNBP
13.09.24	Plateros de Fresnillo - Diablos Rojos del Mexico	84:93 ✺
07.09.24	Diablos Rojos del Mexico - Correcaminos UAT Victoria	95:72 ✺
06.09.24	Diablos Rojos del Mexico - Correcaminos UAT Victoria	95:97 ✺
23.08.24	Dorados de Chihuahua - Diablos Rojos del Mexico	99:84 ✺
22.08.24	Dorados de Chihuahua - Diablos Rojos del Mexico	85:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican LNBP
13.09.24	Plateros de Fresnillo - Diablos Rojos del Mexico	84:93

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