Match Info

NKL

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Lauryno Ivinskio gimnazija (Rietavas)


	Plunges Olimpas		Jurbarkas-Karys

	1	2
	2.25	1.55
			Watch
	2.4	1.49	Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.5	1.47
	2.2	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.34)	1.53 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plunges Olimpas
39.7%

Jurbarkas-Karys
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plunges Olimpas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Jurbarkas-Karys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plunges Olimpas than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurbarkas-Karys than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Plunges Olimpas - Jurbarkas Karys Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Plunges Olimpas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Budrys T.	99. Babusis K.
4. Golson Jr C.	10. Guscikas K.
23. Kreismontas R.	17. Kokoska K.
1. Muhammad N.	6. Matulis G. (C)
22. Thomas M.	9. Valunta S.
Substitutes
10. Adomauskas A.	5. Adomavicius A.
27. Brackus J.	34. Bilevicius T.
8. Jurkaitis M. (C)	3. Micevicius L.
2. Maziliauskas M.	2. Nausedas J.
13. Motuzis M.	12. Saulenas A.
21. Piekus P.	55. Tamulis J.
18. Vaistaras A.	23. Volbikas A.
Coaches
. Tamusauskas M.	. Valaitis P.

Preview

Recent form of Plunges Olimpas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jurbarkas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Jurbarkas has had a series of home games.

Jurbarkas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Plunges Olimpas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 204:240. (average 68:80).

Including home match between the teams, Plunges Olimpas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 74:83.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Jurbarkas	3	3	0	286:224	3
12	Plunges Olimpas	3	1	2	253:267	1

Last Results with these Odds

Jurbarkas-Karys - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 61.26%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plunges Olimpas
Lietuvos NKL
20.12.25	Omega Tauras - Plunges Olimpas	89:98 ✺
18.12.25	Plunges Olimpas - Telšiai	72:92 ✺
13.12.25	Olimpas Palanga - Plunges Olimpas	80:75 ✺
11.12.25	Plunges Olimpas - Kauno Žalgiris-2	83:86 ✺
06.12.25	Šilutė - Plunges Olimpas	103:90 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL
- BC Jurbarkas-Karys
Lietuvos NKL
20.12.25	Sūduva - Jurbarkas-Karys	81:60 ✺
18.12.25	Jurbarkas-Karys - Kretinga	80:76 ✺
16.12.25	Jurbarkas-Karys - Alytaus Alytus	76:71 ✺
13.12.25	Jurbarkas-Karys - Šilutė	104:74 ✺
29.11.25	Jurbarkas-Karys - Telšiai	74:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
30.10.25	Jurbarkas-Karys - Plunges Olimpas	83:66
21.01.25	Plunges Olimpas - Jurbarkas-Karys	74:83
14.11.24	Jurbarkas-Karys - Plunges Olimpas	74:64

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