Match Info

NKL

Date: 18 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall (Jurbarkas)


	Jurbarkas-Karys		Kretinga

	1	2
	1.48	2.42
	1.5	2.45
	1.53	2.32	Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.5	2.42
	1.47	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 (1.5)	2.41 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jurbarkas-Karys
61.6%

Kretinga
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jurbarkas-Karys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Kretinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurbarkas-Karys than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kretinga than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Jurbarkas Karys - Kretinga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Babusis K.	22. Kazakauskas J.
10. Guscikas K.	14. Macionis G.
6. Matulis G. (C)	8. Rudys T.
2. Nausedas J.	5. Staniulis M.
21. Valunta S.	13. Zabita R. (C)
Substitutes
5. Adomavicius A.	6. Danys E.
43. Bilevicius T.	55. Warren J.
17. Kokoska K.	23. Young J.
3. Micevicius L.	7. Ziubrys J.
9. Tamulis J.
23. Volbikas A.
Coaches
. Valaitis P.	. Mikalocius A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jurbarkas won 5.

Jurbarkas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kretinga is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kretinga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Jurbarkas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Jurbarkas won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 760:700. (average 84.4:77.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Jurbarkas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 352:329. (average 88:82.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Jurbarkas-Karys
Lietuvos NKL
16.12.25	Jurbarkas-Karys - Alytaus Alytus	76:71 ✺
13.12.25	Jurbarkas-Karys - Šilutė	104:74 ✺
29.11.25	Jurbarkas-Karys - Telšiai	74:88 ✺
27.11.25	Omega Tauras - Jurbarkas-Karys	80:89 ✺
22.11.25	Olimpas Palanga - Jurbarkas-Karys	94:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWL
- BC Kretinga
Lietuvos NKL
13.12.25	Kretinga - Kėdainiai	90:85 ✺
11.12.25	Alytaus Alytus - Kretinga	83:87 ✺
04.12.25	Omega Tauras - Kretinga	88:90 OT ✺
29.11.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Kretinga	91:86 ✺
27.11.25	Kretinga - Olimpas Palanga	85:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
16.10.25	Kretinga - Jurbarkas-Karys	65:81
05.01.25	Kretinga - Jurbarkas-Karys	57:72
05.10.24	Jurbarkas-Karys - Kretinga	87:86
28.04.24	Kretinga - Jurbarkas-Karys	84:89
25.04.24	Jurbarkas-Karys - Kretinga	93:76
20.04.24	Kretinga - Jurbarkas-Karys	76:84
17.04.24	Jurbarkas-Karys - Kretinga	78:87

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