Match Info

1. Liga - Round 32

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Hala Sportowa Kolo (Warsaw)

Referee: Lawnik M. (Pol)


	Polonia Warszawa		Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński

	1	2
	2.35	1.48	Watch
	2.24	1.6
	2.32	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.34	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.34)	1.52 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Warszawa
39.4%

Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Warszawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warszawa than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Polonia Warszawa - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Duda M.	14. Czerlonko W.
0. Malesa J. (C)	4. Gromovs I.
88. Poradzki F.	20. Ray J.
33. Robinson S.	55. Szmit S.
26. Sulinger J.	10. Wadowski I.
Substitutes
12. Borowski S.	9. Karolak J.
22. Franczuk L.	11. Kikowski P. (C)
77. Niemiec A.	8. Kopycki P.
5. Osinski J.	12. Mokros J.
11. Pulkotycki P.	7. Rajewicz W.
10. Trzybinski B.
13. Zalewski J.
Coaches
. Kusy R.	. Popiolek M.

Preview

Polonia Warszawa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Spójnia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Spójnia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Spójnia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Polonia Warszawa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 73:87.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Spojnia Stargard	3	3	0	270:254	6
4	Polonia Warszawa	3	3	0	285:278	6

Last Results with these Odds

Polonia Warszawa - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 38.58%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Warszawa Basketball
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
02.04.26	Żubry Białystok - Polonia Warszawa	90:80 ✺
29.03.26	Polonia Warszawa - WKK Wrocław	77:68 ✺
25.03.26	Polonia Warszawa - ŁKS Łódź	90:66 ✺
22.03.26	Noteć Inowrocław - Polonia Warszawa	79:67 ✺
15.03.26	Polonia Warszawa - Decka Pelplin	93:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWLW
- Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
04.04.26	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Polonia 1912 Leszno	82:75 ✺
29.03.26	Sokol Lancut - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	80:78 ✺
26.03.26	WKK Wrocław - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	80:89 ✺
21.03.26	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - GKS Tychy	87:81 OT ✺
14.03.26	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	80:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish 1 Liga Basketball
21.12.25	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Polonia Warszawa	87:73

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