Match Info

Proliga - Winners stage - Round 14

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Desportivo da Boavista (Portimão)


	Portimonense		Braga

	1	2
	1.66	2.03
	1.64	2.06
	1.75	1.98
	1.66	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.88)	2.03 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 152.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portimonense
54.7%

Braga
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portimonense's performance.

Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Braga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portimonense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Braga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Portimonense - Braga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Araujo B.	3. Bingham II J.
1. Fragoso D. (C)	77. Delgado I.
0. Jones D.	8. Faial L.
20. Manjate J.	1. Tchoua K.
8. Sotta H.	6. Verde S.
Substitutes
15. Bessa D.	53. Banora L.
45. Dumont T.	39. Pinheiro R.
27. Elijah O.	18. Samuco E. (C)
3. Embalo J.	7. Simao T.
11. Nwamba G.	17. Soares D.
33. Santinhos G.
14. Santos P.
Coaches
. Almeida C.	. Grenha P.

Preview

Portimonense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Braga is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Braga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Portimonense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 67:71.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense Basketball
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
26.04.25	Madeira - Portimonense	94:88 ✺
22.04.25	Portimonense - Imortal B	71:56 ✺
19.04.25	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Portimonense	97:89 ✺
29.03.25	Illiabum - Portimonense	80:70 ✺
22.03.25	Portimonense - Alianca Sangalhos	78:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLW
- SC Braga Basketball
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
26.04.25	Braga - Vasco Da Gama Porto	80:78 ✺
19.04.25	Imortal B - Braga	72:107 ✺
05.04.25	Braga - Illiabum	76:82 ✺
29.03.25	Alianca Sangalhos - Braga	69:82 ✺
22.03.25	Braga - CB Queluz	79:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
08.03.25	Braga - Portimonense	71:67

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