Match Info

PORTUGAL: Proliga - Round 10

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Desportivo da Boavista (Portimão)


	Portimonense		Lusitânia

	1	2
	2.1	1.62
	1.93	1.8
	1.94	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.09)	1.72 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 152.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portimonense
46.3%

Lusitânia
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Portimonense - Lusitânia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Dumont T.	34. Dearman T.
1. Fragoso D. (C)	13. Eyisi O.
0. Jones D.	15. Ferreira F.
20. Manjate J.	0. Ferreira H.
8. Sotta H.	11. Leslie K.
Substitutes
15. Bessa D.	1. Alves M.
27. Elijah O.	4. Alves S.
3. Embalo J.	9. Dias A.
4. Marreiros R.	29. Fainha P.
11. Nwamba G.	10. Freitas M. (C)
33. Santinhos G.	7. Neves J.
14. Santos P.

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Lusitânia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 340:292 (average 85:73).

Including matches at home between the teams Portimonense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 153:143 (average 76.5:71.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense Basketball
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
05.12.24	Portimonense - Imortal B	57:64 ✺
30.11.24	Santo André - Portimonense	75:79 ✺
17.11.24	Benfica B - Portimonense	72:79 ✺
10.11.24	Portimonense - Madeira	70:90 ✺
01.11.24	Barreirense - Portimonense	72:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLL
- SC Lusitânia Basketball
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
07.12.24	Lusitânia - Santo André	92:79 ✺
01.12.24	Benfica B - Lusitânia	65:102 ✺
16.11.24	Madeira - Lusitânia	86:73 ✺
09.11.24	Lusitânia - Barreirense	70:56 ✺
01.11.24	CB Queluz - Lusitânia	79:57 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
19.10.24	Lusitânia - Portimonense	74:95
Portuguese LPB
23.03.24	Lusitânia - Portimonense	75:92
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
14.02.24	Portimonense - Lusitânia	86:79
Portuguese LPB
18.11.23	Portimonense - Lusitânia	67:64

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