Match Info

PORTUGAL: LPB - Round 11

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Clube Desportivo Póvoa (Póvoa de Varzim)


	Povoa		Imortal

	1	2
	1.4	2.65
	1.39	2.65	Watch
	1.56	2.4
	1.4	2.75
	1.46	2.59
	1.39	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)	2.62 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Povoa
64.6%

Imortal
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Povoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Imortal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Povoa than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imortal than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Povoa - Imortal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Arsenopoulos N.	11. Behrend L. A.
33. Robinson S.	8. Davis-Fleming J.
23. Rodrigues M. (C)	4. Flowers M.
9. Trapp C.	46. Gewert F.
14. Zevgaras T.	00. Iii D.
Substitutes
95. Barbosa N.	0. Baker M.
29. Faria G.	9. Bowman M.
28. Nunes G.	10. Lima F. (C)
91. Okemirie J.	72. Lisboa T.
5. Rodrigues J.	6. Silva A.
12. Santos J.	20. Svalbe E.
17. Tahvanainen V.	45. Victo S.
Coaches
. Rodrigues J.	. Pires B.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Povoa won 3.

Povoa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Imortal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Povoa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Povoa won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 793:780 (average 79.3:78).

Including matches at home between the teams Povoa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 372:367 (average 74.4:73.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Povoa Basketball
Portuguese LPB
29.12.24	Oliveirense - Povoa	92:53 ✺
22.12.24	Povoa - Benfica	75:79 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
18.12.24	Vitória de Guimarães - Povoa	94:72 ✺
Portuguese LPB
15.12.24	Vitória de Guimarães - Povoa	75:78 ✺
07.12.24	Povoa - Sporting Lisbon	66:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWL
- Imortal Basket
Portuguese LPB
28.12.24	Imortal - Galitos Barreiro	71:69 ✺
21.12.24	Ovarense - Imortal	87:71 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
17.12.24	Sporting Lisbon - Imortal	86:68 ✺
Portuguese LPB
14.12.24	Imortal - CAQ Queluz	90:85 ✺
07.12.24	Esgueira - Imortal	100:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LPB
20.01.24	Povoa - Imortal	86:88 OT
30.09.23	Imortal - Povoa	83:87
02.04.23	Povoa - Imortal	81:73
04.03.23	Imortal - Povoa	87:91
15.02.23	Imortal - Povoa	84:80
26.11.22	Povoa - Imortal	67:60
30.04.22	Povoa - Imortal	71:70

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