Match Info

PORTUGAL: Taca da Liga - Group Stage

Date: 18 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense (Guimarães)


	Vitória de Guimarães		Povoa

	1	2
	1.67	2.05
	1.68	2.09
	1.67	2.1
	1.65	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.69)	2.08 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória de Guimarães
55.4%

Povoa
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória de Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Povoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Guimarães than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Povoa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Vitória de Guimarães - Povoa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Bastos P. (C)	14. Johnson N.
5. Daye A.	33. Robinson S.
0. Loyd W.	5. Rodrigues J.
11. Monteiro R.	17. Tahvanainen V.
35. Mutombene I.	9. Trapp C.
Substitutes
8. Costa R.	11. Arsenopoulos N.
3. Freitas D.	95. Barbosa N.
24. Moses T.	1. Dimanochie S.
14. Pinto P.	31. Monteiro D.
25. Ribeiro J.	28. Nunes G.
1. Thompson T.	91. Okemirie J.
10. Wingett Jr D.	23. Rodrigues M. (C)
Coaches
. Miranda M.	. Rodrigues J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 713:741 (average 79.2:82.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 389:406 (average 77.8:81.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitória de Guimarães Basketball
Portuguese LPB
15.12.24	Vitória de Guimarães - Povoa	75:78 ✺
07.12.24	Galitos Barreiro - Vitória de Guimarães	70:71 ✺
30.11.24	Vitória de Guimarães - Imortal	86:73 ✺
16.11.24	Vitória de Guimarães - Ovarense	62:67 ✺
13.11.24	CAQ Queluz - Vitória de Guimarães	79:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLW
- CD Povoa Basketball
Portuguese LPB
15.12.24	Vitória de Guimarães - Povoa	75:78 ✺
07.12.24	Povoa - Sporting Lisbon	66:68 ✺
30.11.24	Povoa - Esgueira	82:84 OT ✺
16.11.24	Povoa - Galomar	81:72 ✺
09.11.24	Galitos Barreiro - Povoa	75:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LPB
15.12.24	Vitória de Guimarães - Povoa	75:78
23.03.24	Povoa - Vitória de Guimarães	75:73
18.11.23	Vitória de Guimarães - Povoa	74:83 OT
08.04.23	Vitória de Guimarães - Povoa	96:92
11.03.23	Povoa - Vitória de Guimarães	97:84
17.12.22	Vitória de Guimarães - Povoa	79:76
01.10.22	Povoa - Vitória de Guimarães	76:86

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