Match Info

Date: 6 April 2022, Wednesday


	Prienai		Alytaus Dzūkija

	1	2
			Watch
	1.87	1.8
	2.1	1.66	Watch
	2.01	1.72
	2.06	1.78
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.11	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.3)	1.74 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prienai
46.2%

Alytaus Dzūkija
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prienai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Prienai's performance.

Alytaus Dzūkija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alytaus Dzūkija might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prienai than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Prienai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alytaus Dzūkija than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alytaus Dzūkija could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
97.5%	0%	2.5%

Prienai - Alytaus Dzūkija Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Prienai will win (votes: 39 - 97.5%). Alytaus will win (votes: 1 - 2.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Prienai: 92.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:81

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Prienai won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Prienai could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alytaus will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 33 head-to-head matches Prienai won 20 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 2559-2414.

Including matches at home between the teams Prienai won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1381-1222.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Prienai
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
27.03.22	Pieno Zvaigzdes - Prienai	106:102 OT (92:92) ✺
24.03.22	Prienai - Alytaus Dzūkija	70:77 ✺
12.03.22	Lietkabelis - Prienai	82:73 ✺
07.03.22	Prienai - Juventus Utena	88:81 OT (76:76) ✺
12.02.22	Pieno Zvaigzdes - Prienai	78:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LLLWW
- Alytaus Dzūkija
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
02.04.22	Juventus Utena - Alytaus Dzūkija	95:78 ✺
28.03.22	Alytaus Dzūkija - Nevėžis Kedainiai	93:76 ✺
24.03.22	Prienai - Alytaus Dzūkija	70:77 ✺
07.03.22	Alytaus Dzūkija - Žalgiris Kaunas	63:74 ✺
17.02.22	Alytaus Dzūkija - Jonava	73:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
24.03.22	Prienai - Alytaus Dzūkija	70:77
04.10.21	Alytaus Dzūkija - Prienai	72:69
25.04.21	Alytaus Dzūkija - Prienai	82:86
01.04.21	Prienai - Alytaus Dzūkija	88:82
19.12.20	Alytaus Dzūkija - Prienai	91:77
25.10.20	Prienai - Alytaus Dzūkija	81:72
08.03.20	Prienai - Alytaus Dzūkija	94:70

Prienai - Alytaus Dzūkija: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide