Match Info

LITHUANIA: LKL

Date: 25 April 2023, Tuesday

Location: Prienu arena (Prienai)


	Prienai		Neptūnas

	1	2
			Watch
	2.85	1.35
	3.25	1.29
	3.4	1.29
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.3	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (3.01)	1.3 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prienai
28.4%

Neptūnas
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prienai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Prienai than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Prienai - Neptūnas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:87

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Prienai won 0.

Prienai is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Neptūnas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Neptūnas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Neptūnas is a favorite.

Last 53 head-to-head matches Prienai won 14 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 38 matches and goals 4032-4460.

Including matches at home between the teams Prienai won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 17 matches and goals 2080-2223.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Prienai
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
23.04.23	Lietkabelis - Prienai	81:75 ✺
19.04.23	BC Wolves - Prienai	94:58 ✺
17.04.23	Prienai - Pieno Zvaigzdes	85:91 ✺
11.04.23	Prienai - Gargždai	90:77 ✺
03.04.23	Prienai - Žalgiris Kaunas	57:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWL
- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
22.04.23	Pieno Zvaigzdes - Neptūnas	78:87 ✺
18.04.23	Neptūnas - Nevėžis Kedainiai	97:91 ✺
15.04.23	Šiauliai - Neptūnas	87:89 ✺
10.04.23	Neptūnas - Rytas	86:90 ✺
03.04.23	Neptūnas - Lietkabelis	73:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
21.12.22	Neptūnas - Prienai	80:75
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
24.11.22	Prienai - Neptūnas	72:105
03.11.22	Neptūnas - Prienai	110:89
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
17.10.22	Prienai - Neptūnas	92:99 OT (80:80)
07.02.22	Prienai - Neptūnas	63:73
03.02.22	Neptūnas - Prienai	88:82
15.11.21	Prienai - Neptūnas	62:87

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