Match Info

FRANCE: LNB - ROUND 30

Date: 26 April 2023, Wednesday

Location: Halle des Sports Parsemain (Fos-sur-Mer)


	Provence Basket		JL Bourg-en-Bresse

	1	2
	2.35	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.33	1.6
	2.24	1.69
	2.26	1.67
	2.38	1.6	Watch
	2.22	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 (2.27)	1.64 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Provence Basket
41.9%

JL Bourg-en-Bresse
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Provence Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

JL Bourg-en-Bresse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Provence Basket than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JL Bourg-en-Bresse than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	0%	31.2%

Provence Basket - JL Bourg en Bresse Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Provence will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). JL Bourg-en-Bresse will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Provence: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:84

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Provence won 3.

Provence is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches JL Bourg-en-Bresse is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

JL Bourg-en-Bresse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

JL Bourg-en-Bresse will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Provence won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 706-693.

Including matches at home between the teams Provence won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 287-289.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fos Ouest Provence Basket
French LNB
23.04.23	Provence Basket - Strasbourg	87:65 ✺
16.04.23	AS Monaco Basket - Provence Basket	98:83 ✺
08.04.23	Nanterre - Provence Basket	93:88 ✺
05.04.23	Paris - Provence Basket	100:97 ✺
31.03.23	Provence Basket - Gravelines	63:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL
- JL Bourg-en-Bresse
French LNB
23.04.23	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	87:79 ✺
15.04.23	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Nanterre	93:81 ✺
Eurocup
12.04.23	Promitheas Patras - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	89:75 ✺
French LNB
07.04.23	Chorale Roanne - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	108:111 ✺
04.04.23	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Le Portel	76:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

French LNB
14.01.23	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Provence Basket	69:68
03.05.22	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Provence Basket	85:96
08.01.22	Provence Basket - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	56:63
26.01.19	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Provence Basket	75:93
03.11.18	Provence Basket - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	78:76
French Elite 2
13.05.17	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Provence Basket	94:77
24.01.17	Provence Basket - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	72:75

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