Match Info

FRANCE: LNB - ROUND 24

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Palais des Sports de Pau (Pau)


	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez		JL Bourg-en-Bresse

	1	2
	2.45	1.61
	2.3	1.57
	2.33	1.6
	2.48	1.57
	2.45	1.58
	2.51	1.54	Watch
	2.3	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.02)	1.57 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez
39.6%

JL Bourg-en-Bresse
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez's form might have worsened.

JL Bourg-en-Bresse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting JL Bourg-en-Bresse's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JL Bourg-en-Bresse than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for JL Bourg-en-Bresse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Élan Béarnais Pau Orthez - JL Bourg en Bresse Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Pau-Orthez will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). JL Bourg-en-Bresse will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:84

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pau-Orthez won 1.

Pau-Orthez is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

JL Bourg-en-Bresse is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

JL Bourg-en-Bresse will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Pau-Orthez won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 971-1074.

Including matches at home between the teams Pau-Orthez won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 478-486.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez
French LNB
15.04.23	Gravelines - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	70:58 ✺
09.04.23	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - AS Monaco Basket	72:94 ✺
01.04.23	Limoges - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	81:89 ✺
28.03.23	Nanterre - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	85:64 ✺
25.03.23	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - ADA Blois	80:83 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWLL
- JL Bourg-en-Bresse
French LNB
15.04.23	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Nanterre	93:81 ✺
Eurocup
12.04.23	Promitheas Patras - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	89:75 ✺
French LNB
07.04.23	Chorale Roanne - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	108:111 ✺
04.04.23	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Le Portel	76:71 ✺
01.04.23	Nancy - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	82:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French LNB
08.10.22	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	92:77
05.02.22	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	73:83
02.10.21	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	71:79
16.03.21	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	88:58
16.01.21	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	76:83
07.02.20	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	84:62
28.09.19	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	87:93

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