Match Info

FRANCE: LNB - ROUND 22

Date: 3 March 2023, Friday

Location: Halle des Sports Parsemain (Fos-sur-Mer)


	Provence Basket		Le Mans

	1	2
	3.15	1.38
	2.85	1.4
	3.1	1.37
	3	1.34
	3.22	1.37
	3.25	1.36
	3.1	1.38	Watch
	3.05	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.39)	1.37 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Provence Basket
30.7%

Le Mans
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

71.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Provence Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Provence Basket than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Provence Basket - Le Mans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:84

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro B and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Provence is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Le Mans is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Le Mans could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Le Mans is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Provence won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 391-456.

Including matches at home between the teams Provence won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 125-154.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fos Ouest Provence Basket
French LNB
10.02.23	Chorale Roanne - Provence Basket	89:93 OT ✺
04.02.23	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Provence Basket	74:63 ✺
27.01.23	Provence Basket - ADA Blois	77:73 ✺
18.01.23	Provence Basket - Metropolitans 92	82:83 ✺
14.01.23	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Provence Basket	69:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWLL
- Le Mans Sarthe Basket
French Leaders Cup Basketball
18.02.23	Le Mans - ASVEL Basket	65:90 ✺
17.02.23	Cholet Basket - Le Mans	77:84 ✺
French Cup Basketball
07.02.23	Nancy - Le Mans	78:86 ✺
French LNB
04.02.23	Cholet Basket - Le Mans	83:103 ✺
28.01.23	Le Mans - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	97:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French LNB
24.09.22	Le Mans - Provence Basket	101:83
02.04.22	Le Mans - Provence Basket	93:99
22.01.22	Provence Basket - Le Mans	57:66
03.05.19	Provence Basket - Le Mans	68:88
27.12.18	Le Mans - Provence Basket	108:84

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