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Current Win Probability
Puente Alto 57.9%
Puerto Varas 42.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.7%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.8%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puente Alto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puente Alto's form might have worsened.
Puerto Varas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Puerto Varas's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puente Alto than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puerto Varas than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Puente Alto - Puerto Varas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:73
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
15. Ansaldo I.
36. Castro A.
8. Navarro G.
12. Davies S.
24. Owens O.
34. Fundora Y.
14. Pino J.
11. Ocasio J.
88. Urrutia C.
88. Perez B.
Substitutes
3. Barria O.
1. Allegrini P.
9. Carmona V.
32. Diez C.
6. Lara N.
14. Ovando J.
5. Lobos I.
20. Schwerter V.
7. Munoz R.
6. Villagran C.
90. Perez A.
66. Tussomba Ponce E.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puente Alto won 0.
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Puente Alto has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1123:1223 (averaging 74.9:81.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Puente Alto against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 524:576 goals (averaging 74.9:82.3 per game).