Match Info

LNB - Clausura - Winners

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Location: Gimnasio Fiscal de Puerto Varas (Puerto Varas)


	Puerto Varas		Ancud

	1	2
			Watch
	1.60	2.15
	1.79	1.91
	1.67	2.03
	1.71	1.99	Watch
	1.63	1.99
	1.66	2.10
	1.74	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.67)	2.03 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puerto Varas
54.7%

Ancud
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puerto Varas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Ancud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Varas than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancud than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Puerto Varas - Ancud Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:74

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Arroyo P.	6. Ezeagu B.
12. Davies S.	4. Lopez A.
34. Fundora Y.	9. Morales F.
11. Ocasio J.	23. Moreno L.
6. Villagran C.	3. Scott S. I.
Substitutes
1. Allegrini P.	20. Gomez H.
36. Castro A.	99. Guzman S.
32. Diez C.	24. Lami G.
7. Lewis J.	13. Munoz N.
14. Ovando J.	8. Rojas L.
88. Perez B.	12. Vega P.
20. Schwerter V.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Varas won 1.

Puerto Varas is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Ancud have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Ancud has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Puerto Varas has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1533:1554 (averaging 76.7:77.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Puerto Varas against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 807:752 goals (averaging 80.7:75.2 per game).

Standings

Clausura - Winners

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Ancud	8	2	6	616:663	10
7	CD Puerto Varas	8	1	7	620:695	9

Last Results with these Odds

Ancud - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 46.28%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Puerto Varas
Chilean LNB
28.09.26	Ancud - Puerto Varas	79:74 ✺
23.09.26	Universidad De Concepción - Puerto Varas	96:76 ✺
16.09.26	Puerto Montt - Puerto Varas	82:78 ✺
14.09.26	Puerto Varas - Puerto Montt	68:81 ✺
07.09.26	Puerto Varas - Universidad Católica	76:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLLW
- CD AB Ancud
Chilean LNB
28.09.26	Ancud - Puerto Varas	79:74 ✺
24.09.26	Ancud - Puerto Montt	83:94 ✺
16.09.26	Ancud - Espanol Osorno	74:65 ✺
14.09.26	Deportivo Valdivia - Ancud	89:76 ✺
15.08.26	Ancud - Puerto Montt	66:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean LNB
28.09.26	Ancud - Puerto Varas	79:74
07.08.26	Puerto Varas - Ancud	82:86
18.07.26	Ancud - Puerto Varas	90:84
11.05.26	Puerto Varas - Ancud	75:74
09.05.26	Ancud - Puerto Varas	76:66
07.05.26	Puerto Varas - Ancud	69:64
25.04.26	Ancud - Puerto Varas	101:78

Puerto Varas - Ancud: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide