The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Puerto Varas 50.4%
Espanol Osorno 49.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.9%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.7%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puerto Varas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puerto Varas's form might have worsened.
Espanol Osorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Espanol Osorno's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Varas than the current prediction. (+14.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puerto Varas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanol Osorno than the current prediction. (-14.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Espanol Osorno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Puerto Varas - Espanol Osorno Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:73
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
8. Arroyo P.
44. Caribaux B.
12. Davies S.
1. Corbett J.
11. Ocasio J.
10. Hudson J.
5. Perez M.
24. Martinez C.
6. Villagran C.
4. Sepulveda M.
Substitutes
36. Castro A.
31. Acuna F.
32. Diez C.
29. Angulo H.
34. Fundora Y.
12. Buchholz A.
14. Ovando J.
8. Gonzalez M.
88. Perez B.
3. Zerene D.
20. Schwerter V.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Varas won 2.
Recent performances by Puerto Varas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Espanol Osorno is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Puerto Varas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Espanol Osorno will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puerto Varas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1431:1601. (average 71.6:80.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Varas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 591:602. (average 73.9:75.3).
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Arroyo P. 
Caribaux B. 
Corbett J. 
Ocasio J. 
Fundora Y. 
Gonzalez M. 
