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Current Win Probability
Rakvere Tarvas 13.1%
Tallinna Kalev 86.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.1%
33.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.9%
35.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rakvere Tarvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-53%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rakvere Tarvas's form might have worsened.
Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+53%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tallinna Kalev's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rakvere Tarvas than the current prediction. (+51.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rakvere Tarvas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (-51.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tallinna Kalev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
0%
85.7%
Rakvere Tarvas - Tallinna Kalev Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Rakvere Tarvas will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Kalev will win (votes: 18 - 85.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kalev: 70.7% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 62:91
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Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Rakvere Tarvas won 0.
Rakvere Tarvas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Kalev is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Rakvere Tarvas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Kalev have a series of guest games.
Rakvere Tarvas will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 30 head-to-head matches Rakvere Tarvas won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 26 matches and goals 2083-2614.
Including matches at home between the teams Rakvere Tarvas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 1173-1432.
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