Match Info

Latvian-Estonian League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Unibet Arena (Tallinn)


	Tallinna Kalev		Rīgas Zeļļi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.45	Watch
	1.49	2.49
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.4	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.49)	2.48 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev
62.5%

Rīgas Zeļļi
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Rīgas Zeļļi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rīgas Zeļļi than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tallinna Kalev - Rīgas Zeļļi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Jelks S.	33. Anigwe C.
9. Kaukiainen S.	23. Fidler F.
15. Miska A.	7. Macoha R.
1. Rosenthal M.	0. Shabazz K.
10. Toom H.	10. Sulcs R.
Substitutes
5. Acuff T.	31. Berzins J.
6. Alles M.	8. Berzins R.
22. Dorbek M. (C)	55. Krestinin D.
7. Kasemets K.	5. Lukashov D.
8. Kurbas T.	15. Pinete U. (C)
00. Kurucs I.
0. Makke E.
Coaches
. Killing K.	. Coders D.

Preview

Series tied 1-1. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Rīgas Zeļļi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kalev will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 835:855. (average 75.9:77.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kalev won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 451:473. (average 75.2:78.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
3	Rigas Zelli	4	4	0	377:303	1.000
7	BC Kalev/Cramo	4	2	2	304:320	0.500

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Tallinna Kalev
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
22.03.26	Rīgas Zeļļi - Tallinna Kalev	86:93 ✺
20.03.26	Tallinna Kalev - Rīgas Zeļļi	69:83 ✺
14.03.26	BK Ventspils - Tallinna Kalev	84:109 ✺
10.03.26	Tallinna Kalev - Ogre	104:93 ✺
08.03.26	Tallinna Kalev - TalTech	91:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWW
- Rīgas Zeļļi
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
22.03.26	Rīgas Zeļļi - Tallinna Kalev	86:93 ✺
20.03.26	Tallinna Kalev - Rīgas Zeļļi	69:83 ✺
14.03.26	Rīgas Zeļļi - Viimsi	90:74 ✺
13.03.26	Keila Basket - Rīgas Zeļļi	88:102 ✺
ENBL
11.03.26	Tindastóll - Rīgas Zeļļi	94:101 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
22.03.26	Rīgas Zeļļi - Tallinna Kalev	86:93
20.03.26	Tallinna Kalev - Rīgas Zeļļi	69:83
07.02.26	Rīgas Zeļļi - Tallinna Kalev	70:92
11.10.25	Tallinna Kalev - Rīgas Zeļļi	72:100
08.04.25	Tallinna Kalev - Rīgas Zeļļi	71:78
05.04.25	Rīgas Zeļļi - Tallinna Kalev	71:54
02.04.25	Tallinna Kalev - Rīgas Zeļļi	87:80

Tallinna Kalev - Rīgas Zeļļi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide