Match Info

Date: 26 October 2022, Wednesday

Location: Ratiopharm Arena (Ulm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Ratiopharm Ulm		Basket Brescia

	1	2
	1.64	2.35	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.75	2.08
	1.68	2.15
	1.72	2.19
	1.73	2.15	Watch
	1.65	2.18	Watch
	1.67	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.49)	2.17 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ratiopharm Ulm
56.2%

Basket Brescia
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ratiopharm Ulm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ratiopharm Ulm's form might have worsened.

Basket Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Basket Brescia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ratiopharm Ulm than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ratiopharm Ulm, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Brescia than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basket Brescia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Ratiopharm Ulm - Basket Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ulm will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Brescia will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brescia: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:79

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Preview

Ulm is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brescia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ulm could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ulm have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ulm won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 352-325.

Including matches at home between the teams Ulm won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 171-158.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ratiopharm Ulm
German BBL
21.10.22	EWE Baskets Oldenburg - Ratiopharm Ulm	81:73 ✺
Eurocup
19.10.22	Lietkabelis - Ratiopharm Ulm	80:76 ✺
German Cup Basketball
16.10.22	BG Göttingen - Ratiopharm Ulm	86:82 ✺
Eurocup
11.10.22	Ratiopharm Ulm - Venezia	81:80 ✺
German BBL
09.10.22	Rostock Seawolves - Ratiopharm Ulm	85:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWL
- Basket Brescia
Italian Lega A Basketball
23.10.22	Brindisi - Basket Brescia	77:80 ✺
Eurocup
19.10.22	Basket Brescia - Prometey	104:70 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
16.10.22	Basket Brescia - Scafati	82:81 OT (73:73) ✺
Eurocup
11.10.22	Joventut Badalona - Basket Brescia	80:63 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
08.10.22	Basket Brescia - Varese	88:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Eurocup
10.11.20	Ratiopharm Ulm - Basket Brescia	88:76
07.10.20	Basket Brescia - Ratiopharm Ulm	87:84 OT (76:76)
19.12.18	Basket Brescia - Ratiopharm Ulm	80:97
30.10.18	Ratiopharm Ulm - Basket Brescia	83:82

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