Match Info

Lega A - Round 11

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: PalaLeonessa (Brescia)

Referee: Bartolomeo A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Italy	LBA TV


	Basket Brescia		Varese

	1	2
			Watch
	1.15	5
	1.15	5.09
	1.17	4.72	Watch
	1.18	5
	1.17	5.25	Watch
	1.12	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.2)	5.09 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Brescia
81.5%

Varese
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.8%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Basket Brescia - Varese Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Brescia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Varese (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -10.5, OT - Brescia (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Basket Brescia will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Brescia (votes: 3 - 75%). Varese (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Bilan M.	2. Alviti D.
8. Della V. A.	11. Iroegbu I.
18. Ivanovic N.	4. Moore T.
9. Ndour M.	8. Nkamhoua O.
23. Rivers D.	15. Renfro N.
Substitutes
10. Burnell J.	19. Bergamin M.
25. Cournooh D.	55. Freeman A.
6. Doneda A.	34. Ladurner M.
3. Ferrero G.	13. Librizzi M.
5. Massinburg C.	7. N'Guessan E.
21. Mobio J.	1. Stewart C.
15. Toure P.	5. Villa M.
Coaches
. Cotelli M.	. Kastritis I.

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brescia won 4.

Brescia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Varese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Brescia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Brescia is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brescia won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1776:1588. (average 88.8:79.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Brescia won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 995:843. (average 90.5:76.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Brescia
Italian Lega A Basketball
06.12.25	Reggiana - Basket Brescia	84:91 ✺
21.11.25	Basket Brescia - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	83:72 ✺
16.11.25	Napoli Basket - Basket Brescia	72:85 ✺
09.11.25	Basket Brescia - Trieste	98:75 ✺
05.11.25	Basket Brescia - Olimpia Milano	98:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWW
- Pallacanestro Varese
Italian Lega A Basketball
08.12.25	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Varese	79:87 ✺
23.11.25	Varese - Udine	59:66 ✺
16.11.25	Varese - Cantù	91:82 ✺
09.11.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Varese	90:87 ✺
04.11.25	Varese - Virtus Bologna	77:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
25.01.25	Varese - Basket Brescia	77:118
29.09.24	Basket Brescia - Varese	118:94
30.03.24	Varese - Basket Brescia	92:95
26.11.23	Basket Brescia - Varese	116:73
28.01.23	Varese - Basket Brescia	80:72
08.10.22	Basket Brescia - Varese	88:83
Club Friendly Basketball
24.09.22	Varese - Basket Brescia	80:86

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