The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rayos de Hermosillo 40.8%
Pioneros de Los Mochis 59.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.8%
52.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
52.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rayos de Hermosillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rayos de Hermosillo's form might have worsened.
Pioneros de Los Mochis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pioneros de Los Mochis's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayos de Hermosillo than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayos de Hermosillo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pioneros de Los Mochis than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pioneros de Los Mochis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rayos de Hermosillo - Pioneros de Los Mochis Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 181, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:94
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
3. Ferguson R. (C)
6. Evans J.
5. Gaddy K.
11. Moultrie A.
9. Gooden C.
24. Pearson R.
55. Gresham B.
10. Smith R. (C)
11. Henderson J.
0. Wilson-Frame J.
Substitutes
58. Dominguez R.
55. Allen J.
16. Mendoza E.
87. Baldenebro J.
33. Newton W.
23. Butler M.
7. Valenzuela J.
14. Martinez I.
2. Wertz L.
32. Thompson E.
35. Winston J.
Coaches
. Villafane E.
. Garcia J.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayos de Hermosillo won 3.
Rayos de Hermosillo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Pioneros has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Pioneros may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rayos de Hermosillo won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1821:1683. (average 91.1:84.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Rayos de Hermosillo won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1051:983. (average 87.6:81.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Rayos de Hermosillo - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 47.8%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
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Ferguson R. (C) 
Evans J. 
Dominguez R. 
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