Match Info

SPAIN: ACB - ROUND 20

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Palacio Municipal De Deportes San Pablo (Sevilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Eleven Sports


	Real Betis		Joventut Badalona

	1	2
	2.9	1.43	Watch
	2.75	1.45
	2.8	1.44
	3.04	1.41
	3.25	1.36
	3	1.41	Watch
	2.85	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.54)	1.42 (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Betis
32.5%

Joventut Badalona
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Betis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Joventut Badalona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Betis than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Betis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joventut Badalona than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joventut Badalona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Betis - Joventut Badalona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:82

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Betis won 1.

Real Betis is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Joventut is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Real Betis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Joventut is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Real Betis won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 1112-1154.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Betis won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 544-566.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Betis Basketball
Spanish ACB League
04.02.23	Real Betis - UCAM Murcia	84:71 ✺
29.01.23	Basket Zaragoza - Real Betis	89:82 OT ✺
21.01.23	Canarias - Real Betis	88:64 ✺
15.01.23	Real Betis - Obradoiro CAB	71:73 ✺
07.01.23	Barcelona - Real Betis	104:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLL
- Joventut Badalona
Eurocup
07.02.23	Joventut Badalona - Ratiopharm Ulm	82:76 ✺
Spanish ACB League
04.02.23	Joventut Badalona - Basquet Manresa	73:65 ✺
Eurocup
01.02.23	Prometey - Joventut Badalona	95:90 ✺
Spanish ACB League
28.01.23	Bilbao Basket - Joventut Badalona	51:70 ✺
Eurocup
25.01.23	Joventut Badalona - Cedevita Olimpija	96:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
29.12.22	Joventut Badalona - Real Betis	93:81
20.03.22	Real Betis - Joventut Badalona	66:77
11.12.21	Joventut Badalona - Real Betis	84:82
28.03.21	Joventut Badalona - Real Betis	78:88
25.09.20	Real Betis - Joventut Badalona	57:78
29.09.19	Real Betis - Joventut Badalona	95:88
04.03.18	Real Betis - Joventut Badalona	86:81

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