Match Info

ACB - Round 18

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Bilbao Arena (Bilbao)

Referee: Chueca A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN


	Bilbao Basket		Joventut Badalona

	1	2
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.82	1.92
	1.85	1.99
	1.83	1.93	Watch
	1.8	1.9
	1.89	1.96	Watch
	1.86	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.67)	1.93 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bilbao Basket
51.1%

Joventut Badalona
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bilbao Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bilbao Basket's form might have worsened.

Joventut Badalona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joventut Badalona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bilbao Basket than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joventut Badalona than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Bilbao Basket - Joventut Badalona Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bilbao will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Joventut will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bilbao: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Bilbao (votes: 3 - 60%). Joventut (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Frey H.	24. Hunt C.
11. Hilliard D.	1. Kraag Y.
32. Hlinason T.	9. Rubio R.
10. Krampelj M.	23. Ruzic M.
2. Normantas M.	44. Tomic A.
Substitutes
13. Bagayoko B.	35. Birgander S.
5. Errasti B.	17. Dekker S.
22. Font A.	0. Drell H.
7. Jaworski J.	12. Hakanson L.
19. Pantzar M. J.	88. Hanga A.
18. Petrasek L.	34. Niebla D.
12. Zecevic A.	16. Vives G.
Coaches
. Ponsarnau J.	. Miret D.

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bilbao won 1.

Bilbao is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Joventut has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Joventut may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bilbao won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1579:1620. (average 79:81).

Including home matches between the teams, Bilbao won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 823:766. (average 82.3:76.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
8	Bilbao	2	1	1	208:196	2
16	Joventut Badalona	1	0	1	104:110	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bilbao Basket
Spanish ACB League
24.01.26	Granada - Bilbao Basket	84:88 OT ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
21.01.26	Sporting Lisbon - Bilbao Basket	72:90 ✺
Spanish ACB League
17.01.26	Bilbao Basket - Canarias	95:78 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
13.01.26	Bilbao Basket - PAOK	95:73 ✺
Spanish ACB League
10.01.26	Bilbao Basket - UCAM Murcia	96:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW
- Joventut Badalona
Champions League Basketball
28.01.26	Joventut Badalona - Unicaja Malaga	71:66 ✺
Spanish ACB League
25.01.26	Baskonia - Joventut Badalona	87:77 ✺
Champions League Basketball
21.01.26	Joventut Badalona - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	107:75 ✺
Spanish ACB League
18.01.26	Joventut Badalona - Girona	71:74 ✺
11.01.26	San Pablo Burgos - Joventut Badalona	95:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
19.10.25	Joventut Badalona - Bilbao Basket	101:69
03.05.25	Joventut Badalona - Bilbao Basket	87:79
17.11.24	Bilbao Basket - Joventut Badalona	79:95
17.03.24	Bilbao Basket - Joventut Badalona	92:71
19.11.23	Joventut Badalona - Bilbao Basket	81:78
28.01.23	Bilbao Basket - Joventut Badalona	51:70
30.09.22	Joventut Badalona - Bilbao Basket	76:81

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