Match Info

Liga A

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Obras Sanitarias (Buenos Aires)


	Obras Sanitarias		Gimnasia y Esgrima

	1	2
	1.42	2.7	Watch
	1.37	2.9	Watch
	1.38	2.8
	1.38	2.81	Watch
	1.38	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.35)	2.81 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Obras Sanitarias
67%

Gimnasia y Esgrima
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Obras Sanitarias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Obras Sanitarias than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Obras Sanitarias that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia y Esgrima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Obras Sanitarias - Gimnasia y Esgrima Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Barral P.	22. Carabali B.
1. Corum A.	6. Cisneros A.
12. Delia M.	30. Cosolito M.
2. Inyaco F.	77. Grun F.
6. Mata M.	12. Toretta E.
Substitutes
9. Bilbao J.	10. Carrasco S.
5. Brussino J.	3. Centeno J.
26. Lopez J.	5. Chacon M.
28. Madrigal J.	21. Copesky J.
88. Respaud J.	9. Dato M.
22. Sabin T.	11. Horton K.
8. Zezular F.	14. Rivero C.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Obras won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Gimnasia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Obras is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Obras won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1542:1721. (average 77.1:86.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Obras won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 767:806. (average 76.7:80.6).

Outrights of Argentinian LNB for now

Gimnasia: 16.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
8	Gimnasia	4	2	2	314:311	0.500

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Obras Sanitarias
Argentinian LNB
06.01.26	Obras Sanitarias - Unión Santa Fe	69:83 ✺
28.12.25	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Obras Sanitarias	81:89 ✺
26.12.25	Obras Sanitarias - Atlético Platense	80:72 ✺
21.12.25	Oberá TC - Obras Sanitarias	66:78 ✺
19.12.25	La Unión Formosa - Obras Sanitarias	88:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWL
- Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentinian LNB
09.01.26	Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia y Esgrima	88:75 ✺
07.01.26	Atlético Platense - Gimnasia y Esgrima	72:84 ✺
18.12.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Quimsa	86:78 ✺
14.12.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Oberá TC	80:87 ✺
05.12.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	93:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian LNB
21.04.25	Obras Sanitarias - Gimnasia y Esgrima	75:70
11.10.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Obras Sanitarias	89:91
12.05.24	Obras Sanitarias - Gimnasia y Esgrima	73:91
09.12.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Obras Sanitarias	96:62
14.05.23	Obras Sanitarias - Gimnasia y Esgrima	69:72
12.05.23	Obras Sanitarias - Gimnasia y Esgrima	65:69
09.05.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Obras Sanitarias	97:83

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