Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 38

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Modigliani Forum (Livorno) 🌤️ ...


	Libertas Livorno		Basket Pesaro

	1	2
	1.53	2.4
	1.48	2.4
	1.5	2.3
	1.58	2.39
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.5	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.37)	2.34 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Libertas Livorno
60.5%

Basket Pesaro
39.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertas Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Libertas Livorno's form might have worsened.

Basket Pesaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Basket Pesaro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertas Livorno than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertas Livorno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Pesaro than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basket Pesaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Libertas Livorno - Basket Pesaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:80

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Piccoli M.	21. Bucarelli L.
33. Possamai L.	2. Johnson J.
5. Tiby M.	11. Smits E. D.
7. Valentini F.	15. Tambone M.
1. Woodson A.	18. Virginio N.
Substitutes
8. Fantoni T.	45. Aromando S.
12. Filloy A.	5. Bertini A.
3. Genti N.	13. De Laurentiis Q.
9. Gubinelli N.	25. Fainke E.
21. Lombardi E.	7. Maretto O.
24. Penna L.	1. Trucchetti S.
11. Tozzi L.
Coaches
. Diana A.	. Leka S.

Preview

Recent performances by Libertas Livorno have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pesaro is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Libertas Livorno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Libertas Livorno might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Libertas Livorno won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 251:223. (average 83.7:74.3).

Including home match between the teams, Libertas Livorno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 104:76.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Libertas Livorno	6	6	0	490:402	12
3	Pesaro	6	5	1	499:459	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertas Livorno
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
18.04.26	Mestre - Libertas Livorno	82:90 ✺
12.04.26	Forlì - Libertas Livorno	91:86 ✺
08.04.26	Libertas Livorno - Rieti	80:72 ✺
04.04.26	Brindisi - Libertas Livorno	76:75 ✺
29.03.26	Libertas Livorno - Cividale	76:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLWLL
- Basket Pesaro
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
19.04.26	Basket Pesaro - Forlì	85:73 ✺
12.04.26	Rieti - Basket Pesaro	112:90 ✺
08.04.26	Basket Torino - Basket Pesaro	77:81 ✺
03.04.26	Basket Pesaro - Verona	84:83 ✺
29.03.26	Pistoia Basket - Basket Pesaro	89:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
30.09.25	Basket Pesaro - Libertas Livorno	62:78
30.03.25	Basket Pesaro - Libertas Livorno	85:69
13.11.24	Libertas Livorno - Basket Pesaro	104:76

Upcoming Matches