The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rytas 73.4%
Neptūnas 26.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
68.2%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.7%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rytas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rytas's performance.
Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neptūnas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rytas than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rytas that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neptūnas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rytas - Neptūnas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:87
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
9. Bruhnke K.
0. Drell H.
0. Devoe M.
14. Echodas M.
8. Gudaitis A. (C)
5. Franke Y.
77. Paliukenas M.
10. Fridriksson E.
7. Radzevicius G.
37. Tubutis E.
Substitutes
23. Jogela M.
8. Girdziunas M. (C)
4. Lindo R.
88. Kreismontas L.
3. Marciulionis A.
17. Somerville R.
21. Masiulis G.
1. Tarolis D.
14. Pleikys O.
13. Zemaitis K.
11. Snitka K.
16. Urbonas I.
Coaches
. Pacevicius N.
. Petrauskas G.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rytas won 4.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Neptūnas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Rytas has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
In this matchup, Rytas is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Rytas has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1784:1671 (averaging 89.2:83.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rytas against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 913:840 goals (averaging 91.3:84 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
L
PCT
2
Rytas
5
4
1
456:417
0.800
4
Neptunas
7
4
3
606:583
0.571
Outrights of Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga for now
Neptunas: 2.84%
Last Results with these Odds
Rytas - the odds 1.34 are the expected chance of winning is 68.25%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Neptūnas - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.75%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Bruhnke K. 
Drell H. 
Devoe M. 
Echodas M. 
Franke Y. 
Fridriksson E. 
Lindo R. 
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