Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - WINNERS STAGE - FINAL

Date: 17 January 2023, Tuesday

Location: Jeep arena (Vilnius)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Rytas		PAOK

	1	2
			Watch
	1.2	4
	1.25	3.9
	1.22	3.95
	1.27	3.99
	1.22	4
	1.27	3.84	Watch
	1.22	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.35)	3.93 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rytas
76.1%

PAOK
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rytas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rytas's performance.

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PAOK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rytas than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rytas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PAOK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Rytas - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: Rytas will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:76

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Rytas is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Rytas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 320-312.

Including matches at home between the teams Rytas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 166-150.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Rytas
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
14.01.23	Rytas - Prienai	98:77 ✺
Champions League Basketball
11.01.23	PAOK - Rytas	81:78 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
07.01.23	Rytas - BC Wolves	76:88 ✺
Champions League Basketball
03.01.23	Rytas - PAOK	85:62 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
28.12.22	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Rytas	84:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWW
- PAOK Thessaloniki BC
Greek Basket League A1
15.01.23	PAOK - Peristeri BC	70:81 ✺
Champions League Basketball
11.01.23	PAOK - Rytas	81:78 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
08.01.23	PAOK - Apollon Patras	97:57 ✺
Champions League Basketball
03.01.23	Rytas - PAOK	85:62 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
27.12.22	AEK Athens - PAOK	71:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
11.01.23	PAOK - Rytas	81:78
03.01.23	Rytas - PAOK	85:62
Eurocup
16.12.15	Rytas - PAOK	81:88
11.11.15	PAOK - Rytas	81:76

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