Match Info

NKL - Winners stage

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Active Vilnius Arena (Vilnius)


	Rytas 2		Perlas Vilkaviškis

	1	2
	1.92	1.73	Watch
	1.98	1.77
	1.93	1.76	Watch
	1.85	1.8
	1.97	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.84)	1.76 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rytas 2
47.7%

Perlas Vilkaviškis
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rytas 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Perlas Vilkaviškis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rytas 2 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perlas Vilkaviškis than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Rytas 2 - Perlas Vilkaviškis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Balkandzhiev K.	21. Gadsden Jr T.
8. Jokubauskas G.	7. Hopenas A.
22. Krizanauskas G.	5. Pazarauskas T. (C)
19. Stuknys N.	33. Quillan G.
27. Vilkas A.	50. Skucas Z.
Substitutes
34. Adomaitis V.	4. Bancevicius A.
5. Liutkevicius M. (C)	35. Kucinskas G.
2. Pocius A.	23. Saterfield J. T.
23. Sirgedas E.	34. Stankevicius G.
9. Snitka K.
10. Vilutis A.
45. Zukauskas D.
Coaches
. Kadziulis G.	. Zablockis S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rytas 2 won 1.

Rytas 2 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Perlas Vilkaviškis has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Rytas 2 has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rytas 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 784:863. (average 78.4:86.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rytas 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 408:416. (average 81.6:83.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
7	Vilkaviskis	3	2	1	272:248	2
16	Rytas 2	3	0	3	240:265	0

Last Results with these Odds

Perlas Vilkaviškis - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 51.4%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rytas 2
Lietuvos NKL
19.02.26	Sūduva - Rytas 2	95:66 ✺
07.02.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Rytas 2	62:80 ✺
05.02.26	Plunges Olimpas - Rytas 2	86:95 OT ✺
27.01.26	Rytas 2 - Perlas Vilkaviškis	71:67 ✺
24.01.26	Telšiai - Rytas 2	75:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWW
- Perlas Vilkaviškis
Lietuvos NKL
19.02.26	Kėdainiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	80:69 ✺
07.02.26	Alytaus Alytus - Perlas Vilkaviškis	75:90 ✺
05.02.26	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Kėdainiai	77:66 ✺
29.01.26	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Vilniaus Stekas	78:63 ✺
27.01.26	Rytas 2 - Perlas Vilkaviškis	71:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
27.01.26	Rytas 2 - Perlas Vilkaviškis	71:67
04.10.25	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Rytas 2	86:70
21.12.24	Rytas 2 - Perlas Vilkaviškis	63:74
26.10.24	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Rytas 2	92:76
17.12.23	Rytas 2 - Perlas Vilkaviškis	87:96
28.10.23	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Rytas 2	92:72
09.03.23	Rytas 2 - Perlas Vilkaviškis	75:96

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