Match Info

NKL

Date: 22 December 2025, Monday

Location: Active Vilnius Arena (Vilnius)


	Rytas 2		Vilniaus Stekas

	1	2
	1.38	2.68	Watch
	1.45	2.51	Watch
	1.44	2.5
	1.44	2.59
	1.47	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.37)	2.57 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rytas 2
64.1%

Vilniaus Stekas
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rytas 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Vilniaus Stekas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rytas 2 than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilniaus Stekas than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Rytas 2 - Vilniaus Stekas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Adomaitis V.	33. Bucas D.
14. Bubnys G.	3. Edwards R.
13. Kasparas D.	26. Morkunas D.
9. Snitka K.	5. Simeus W.
16. Urbonas I. (C)	23. Subotkevic R.
Substitutes
12. Birzinis B.	13. Buskevicius A.
35. Buivydas G.	12. Jonuska K. (C)
8. Jokubauskas G.	22. Urbanavicius K.
23. Sirgedas E.
10. Vilutis A.
Coaches
. Kadziulis G.	. Stankevicius T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rytas 2 won 1.

Recent performances by Rytas 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vilniaus Stekas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rytas 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Vilniaus Stekas has had a series of away games.

Rytas 2 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Rytas 2 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1221:1315. (average 81.4:87.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Rytas 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 681:707. (average 85.1:88.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rytas 2
Lietuvos NKL
20.12.25	Kėdainiai - Rytas 2	73:94 ✺
18.12.25	Rytas 2 - Alytaus Alytus	95:82 ✺
13.12.25	Vytis Šakiai - Rytas 2	90:87 ✺
11.12.25	Rytas 2 - Sūduva	65:101 ✺
06.12.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Rytas 2	95:90 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLLL
- Vilniaus Stekas
Lietuvos NKL
20.12.25	Mažeikiai - Vilniaus Stekas	79:74 ✺
13.12.25	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Vilniaus Stekas	92:93 OT ✺
11.12.25	Vilniaus Stekas - Vytis Šakiai	88:93 ✺
06.12.25	Olimpas Palanga - Vilniaus Stekas	80:79 ✺
27.11.25	Alytaus Alytus - Vilniaus Stekas	93:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
22.02.25	Rytas 2 - Vilniaus Stekas	84:97
14.12.24	Vilniaus Stekas - Rytas 2	68:59
19.10.24	Rytas 2 - Vilniaus Stekas	101:85
15.02.24	Vilniaus Stekas - Rytas 2	82:76
18.01.24	Rytas 2 - Vilniaus Stekas	76:97
25.11.23	Vilniaus Stekas - Rytas 2	88:84
07.10.23	Rytas 2 - Vilniaus Stekas	86:95

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