Match Info

NKL - Losers stage

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Silutes Vyduno gimnazija (Silute)


	Alytaus Alytus		Vilniaus Stekas

	1	2
			Watch
	1.96	1.7
	2.29	1.57
	1.93	1.76	Watch
	2	1.7
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.71)	1.67 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alytaus Alytus
44.5%

Vilniaus Stekas
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alytaus Alytus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alytaus Alytus's form might have worsened.

Vilniaus Stekas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vilniaus Stekas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alytaus Alytus than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alytaus Alytus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilniaus Stekas than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vilniaus Stekas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alytaus Alytus - Vilniaus Stekas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alytus (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Bartasius Z.	33. Bucas D.
7. Juozaitis J.	2. Egbuta J.
30. Pocevicius M.	26. Morkunas D.
8. Smirnov K.	5. Simeus W.
5. Stankevicius T.	22. Urbanavicius K.
Substitutes
13. Degray R.	10. Brusokas K.
11. Scott N.	13. Buskevicius A.
23. Vaitulevicius O.	12. Jonuska K. (C)
1. Waters-Johnson Jr R. C. (C)	0. Rotardier K.
	23. Subotkevic R.
Coaches
. Jurkunas A.	. Stankevicius T.

Preview

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alytus won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 397:420. (average 79.4:84).

Including home matches between the teams, Alytus won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 170:170. (average 85:85).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
10	Ukmerges Stekas	3	1	2	269:257	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alytaus Alytus
Lietuvos NKL
07.03.26	Kretinga - Alytaus Alytus	101:97 ✺
05.03.26	Alytaus Alytus - Olimpas Palanga	97:83 ✺
28.02.26	Alytaus Alytus - Plunges Olimpas	72:96 ✺
26.02.26	Šilutė - Alytaus Alytus	89:72 ✺
21.02.26	Alytaus Alytus - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	89:91 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLLL
- Vilniaus Stekas
Lietuvos NKL
07.03.26	Olimpas Palanga - Vilniaus Stekas	94:97 OT ✺
05.03.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Omega Tauras	83:87 ✺
03.03.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Jurbarkas-Karys	79:87 ✺
26.02.26	Plunges Olimpas - Vilniaus Stekas	98:82 ✺
21.02.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Šilutė	80:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
05.02.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Alytaus Alytus	62:83
27.11.25	Alytaus Alytus - Vilniaus Stekas	93:83
08.02.25	Vilniaus Stekas - Alytaus Alytus	109:60
28.11.24	Vilniaus Stekas - Alytaus Alytus	79:84
09.11.24	Alytaus Alytus - Vilniaus Stekas	77:87

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