Match Info

WORLD: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE AMERICAS

Date: 12 February 2024, Monday

Location: Ginasio do Morumbi (Sao Paulo)


	São Paulo		Quimsa

	1	2
	1.43	2.65	Watch
	1.45	2.5
			Watch
	1.48	2.66
	1.5	2.5
	1.42	2.72
	1.43	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.99)	2.61 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
64.2%

Quimsa
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Paulo's performance.

Quimsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Quimsa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Paulo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quimsa than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Quimsa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.5%	0%	6.5%

São Paulo - Quimsa Predictions

Users Predictions: São Paulo will win (29 of 31 users predict this - 93.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:83

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 4.

São Paulo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Quimsa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Quimsa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Quimsa have a series of home games.

São Paulo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 556-557.

Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 246-215.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC Basketball
Champions League Americas Basketball
10.02.24	São Paulo - Nacional	93:76 ✺
Brazilian NBB
07.02.24	Pato - São Paulo	74:80 ✺
Champions League Americas Basketball
28.01.24	Nacional - São Paulo	86:82 ✺
27.01.24	Quimsa - São Paulo	84:87 ✺
Brazilian NBB
23.01.24	São Paulo - Paulistano	90:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWLWW
- Quimsa
Champions League Americas Basketball
11.02.24	Nacional - Quimsa	78:72 ✺
Argentinian LNB
07.02.24	Quimsa - Riachuelo de La Rioja	85:73 ✺
03.02.24	Quimsa - Atlético Platense	93:84 ✺
01.02.24	Quimsa - Regatas Corrientes	98:93 ✺
Champions League Americas Basketball
27.01.24	Quimsa - São Paulo	84:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Americas Basketball
27.01.24	Quimsa - São Paulo	84:87
16.12.23	Quimsa - São Paulo	112:65
11.03.22	São Paulo - Quimsa	95:73
01.02.22	São Paulo - Quimsa	86:69
12.12.21	Quimsa - São Paulo	74:83
05.03.21	São Paulo - Quimsa	65:73
02.02.21	Quimsa - São Paulo	72:75 OT (68:68)

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