The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
São Paulo 47.8%
São José dos Campos 52.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.2%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.1%
35.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Paulo's form might have worsened.
São José dos Campos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São José dos Campos's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+16.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Paulo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for São José dos Campos than the current prediction. (-16.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São José dos Campos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.6%
0%
88.4%
São Paulo - São José dos Campos Predictions
Users Predictions:
43 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 5 - 11.6%). São José will win (votes: 38 - 88.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for São José: 78.8% – 98%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:78
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
3. Bennett C.
0. Dos Santos D.
40. Bresolin A.
18. Fernandez M.
10. Coelho H.
2. Leal V.
0. Curnell T.
4. Ruivo F.
13. Faverani V.
14. Silva B.
Substitutes
22. Ansaloni R.
30. Borges A.
5. Fischer R.
15. Carbonari R.
16. Igor Andrade
7. Narcizio V.
14. Miguel Santos
1. Nascimento N.
20. Nunes T.
12. Nickel J.
2. Oliveira J.
5. Pedrosa G.
7. Paulo
3. Rocha C.
Coaches
. Guerra J.
. Marrelli R.
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 2.
São Paulo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
São José is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
São Paulo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently São Paulo have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 7 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 561:554 (average 80.1:79.1).
Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 247:209 (average 82.3:69.7).