Match Info

NBB - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Ginasio Panela de Pressao (Bauru)

Referee: Marques Inchauspe R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2


	Bauru		São Paulo

	1	2
	1.3	3.25	Watch
	1.3	3.25
	1.28	3.2	Watch
	1.32	3.31
	1.35	2.97
	1.33	3.25
	1.31	3.25	Watch
	1.28	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.34)	3.21 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bauru
71%

São Paulo
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bauru has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bauru than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Bauru - São Paulo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:74

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Andrezao	22. Ansaloni R.
3. Brite D.	3. Bennett C.
10. Garcia A.	5. Fischer R.
19. Mogi Alves	33. Miller M.
6. Silva G.	7. Paulo
Substitutes
13. Brandao L.	40. Bresolin A.
1. Giacon D.	10. Coelho H.
7. Gustavo	13. Faverani V.
20. Igor Rocha	16. Igor Andrade
15. Maciel M.	14. Miguel Santos
9. Pedro	20. Nunes T.
5. Rossetto D.	2. Oliveira J.
Coaches
. Cezar P.	. Fernandes F.

Preview

Bauru leads series 2-0. 3rd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bauru won 4.

Bauru is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

São Paulo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Bauru is a strong favorite.

We predict that Bauru will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Bauru won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1397:1460. (average 77.6:81.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bauru won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 704:688. (average 78.2:76.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paschoalotto Bauru
Brazilian NBB
12.05.25	Bauru - São Paulo	84:67 ✺
09.05.25	São Paulo - Bauru	85:96 ✺
03.05.25	Bauru - Paulistano	85:80 OT ✺
30.04.25	Paulistano - Bauru	54:84 ✺
27.04.25	Bauru - Paulistano	60:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWL
- São Paulo FC Basketball
Brazilian NBB
12.05.25	Bauru - São Paulo	84:67 ✺
09.05.25	São Paulo - Bauru	85:96 ✺
03.05.25	São Paulo - Brasília Basquete	78:77 OT ✺
30.04.25	Brasília Basquete - São Paulo	86:81 ✺
28.04.25	Brasília Basquete - São Paulo	54:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
12.05.25	Bauru - São Paulo	84:67
09.05.25	São Paulo - Bauru	85:96
11.01.25	Bauru - São Paulo	75:73
26.10.24	São Paulo - Bauru	78:68
06.01.24	São Paulo - Bauru	89:93 OT
24.10.23	Bauru - São Paulo	87:66
02.03.23	Bauru - São Paulo	74:81

Bauru - São Paulo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide