Match Info

LNB - Round 23

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Palais des Sports Pierre Ratte (Saint Quentin)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	DAZN France


	Saint-Quentin		Élan Sportif Chalonnais

	1	2
	2.62	1.44
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.33	1.55
	2.5	1.56
	2.31	1.58	Watch
	2.38	1.57
	2.41	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.24)	1.56 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Quentin
39.5%

Élan Sportif Chalonnais
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Quentin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Élan Sportif Chalonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Quentin than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saint-Quentin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Élan Sportif Chalonnais than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Élan Sportif Chalonnais, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Saint Quentin - Élan Sportif Chalonnais Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Saint-Quentin will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Elan Chalon will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Quentin: 79.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Saint-Quentin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Difuidi N.	40. Cuthbertson Z.
77. Dally J.	25. Mutts J.
21. Moore C.	13. Gaudoux L. (C)
1. Barber C.	6. Choupas Y.
13. Johnson N.	8. Hill J.
Substitutes
30. Berthelin R.	2. Anochili-Killen O.
3. Ekiyor E.	3. Darling N.
5. Oniangue G. (C)	33. Golden G.
00. Schwartz L.	1. Nadolny C.
20. Traore D.	0. Naji A.
	22. Tonnellier Y.
Coaches
. Da Silva P.	. Delord E.

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone LNB (Relegation) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play~in: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Quentin won 1.

Recent performances by Saint-Quentin have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Elan Chalon is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Elan Chalon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Elan Chalon might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Saint-Quentin won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 718:737. (average 79.8:81.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Quentin won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 342:330. (average 85.5:82.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
5	Chalon/Saone	3	2	1	267:231	0.667
10	Saint Quentin	2	1	1	181:195	0.500

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saint-Quentin Basketball
French LNB
15.03.26	Dijon - Saint-Quentin	119:127 OT ✺
07.03.26	Le Portel - Saint-Quentin	72:108 ✺
15.02.26	Saint-Quentin - Paris	90:103 ✺
07.02.26	Gravelines - Saint-Quentin	91:75 ✺
30.01.26	Saint-Quentin - Limoges	77:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLLL
- Élan Sportif Chalonnais
Champions League Basketball
17.03.26	s.Oliver Wurzburg - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	84:81 ✺
French LNB
13.03.26	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Limoges	109:56 ✺
Champions League Basketball
10.03.26	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Unicaja Malaga	70:80 ✺
French LNB
07.03.26	Nancy - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	102:80 ✺
14.02.26	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Le Mans	71:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

French LNB
11.10.25	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Saint-Quentin	84:82
18.01.25	Saint-Quentin - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	83:88
07.12.24	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Saint-Quentin	91:63
04.05.24	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Saint-Quentin	97:90 OT
07.10.23	Saint-Quentin - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	75:70
French Elite 2
11.04.23	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Saint-Quentin	68:64
20.11.22	Saint-Quentin - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	93:86 OT (79:79)

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