Match Info

FINLAND: Korisliiga - Round 11

Date: 10 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Salohalli (Salo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Salon Vilpas		BC Nokia

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.8
	1.37	2.9
	1.35	3.13
	1.44	2.78	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.39	2.89
	1.37	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.59)	2.88 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salon Vilpas
67.5%

BC Nokia
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salon Vilpas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salon Vilpas's performance.

BC Nokia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BC Nokia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salon Vilpas than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salon Vilpas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BC Nokia than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BC Nokia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Salon Vilpas - BC Nokia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Salon Vilpas will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Nokia will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Adamu A.	21. Brown C.
0. Donaldson D.	20. Davis G.
4. Koivisto M. (C)	18. Kanervo A.
10. Nyman V.	88. Ross I.
3. Payne O.	3. Ross K. (C)
Substitutes
12. Adler S.	8. Ahonen A.
22. Innamaa E.	13. Besselink M.
5. Poutiainen P.	33. Murphy T.
28. Rantapaju D.	15. Nikula A.
11. Ronnholm T.	44. Roiko S.
20. Vaara M.
2. Yli-Junnila T.
Coaches
. Savolainen J.	. Gibson G.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salon Vilpas won 2.

Recent matches Salon Vilpas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nokia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Salon Vilpas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Salon Vilpas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Salon Vilpas to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Salon Vilpas won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 1748:1618 (average 87.4:80.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Salon Vilpas won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 864:770 (average 86.4:77).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salon Vilpas
Finnish Korisliiga
06.12.24	Korikobrat - Salon Vilpas	79:81 ✺
04.12.24	Salon Vilpas - Helsinki Seagulls	99:102 ✺
16.11.24	Pyrinto Tampere - Salon Vilpas	81:98 ✺
09.11.24	Salon Vilpas - Korihait	109:61 ✺
06.11.24	Joensuun Kataja - Salon Vilpas	116:114 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWL
- BC Nokia
Finnish Korisliiga
07.12.24	BC Nokia - Joensuun Kataja	81:101 ✺
04.12.24	Kauhajoen Karhu - BC Nokia	91:85 ✺
15.11.24	BC Nokia - Kouvot Kouvola	72:80 ✺
12.11.24	KTP Kotka Basket - BC Nokia	81:77 ✺
05.11.24	BC Nokia - Espoon Honka	88:82 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga
09.03.24	BC Nokia - Salon Vilpas	91:87
08.02.24	Salon Vilpas - BC Nokia	82:72
02.01.24	Salon Vilpas - BC Nokia	79:88
13.10.23	BC Nokia - Salon Vilpas	84:90
26.11.22	BC Nokia - Salon Vilpas	103:101 OT (92:92)
01.10.22	Salon Vilpas - BC Nokia	65:72
09.02.22	Salon Vilpas - BC Nokia	81:87

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