Match Info

Prva Liga - Play Offs - Final

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Sportska dvorana Samobor (Samobor)


	Samobor		Mladost

	1	2
	1.57	2.2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.4	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.59)	2.53 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samobor
63%

Mladost
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samobor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Mladost has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samobor than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladost than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Samobor - Mladost Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Karahodzic K.	4. Anzulovic L. (C)
7. Mandalinic L. (C)	14. Ferderber F.
42. Rada D.	17. Krstanovic S.
44. Simon K.	7. Pesic L.
4. Skara J.	13. Subasic D.
Substitutes
16. Batur D.	18. Burek B.
11. Cretni V.	16. Ivancic P.
14. Linde M.	21. Pavic I.
2. Lukacic K.	0. Seba A.
8. Sedlar L.	20. Skrobot N.
10. Sedlar R.	6. Zemljic N.
12. Suvak L.
Coaches
. Gjuro S.	. Pesut L.

Preview

1st leg.

Samobor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mladost is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mladost may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Samobor will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Samobor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 187:185. (average 93.5:92.5).

Including home match between the teams, Samobor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 99:91.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Samobor
Croatian Prva Liga Basketball
27.04.25	Jazine-Arbanasi Zadar - Samobor	65:94
24.04.25	Samobor - Jazine-Arbanasi Zadar	78:74 OT ✺
17.04.25	Marsonia - Samobor	98:77 ✺
13.04.25	Samobor - Jazine-Arbanasi Zadar	86:81 ✺
06.04.25	Škrljevo - Samobor	80:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLWL
- HAKK Mladost
Croatian Prva Liga Basketball
30.04.25	Mladost - Kaštela	71:67 ✺
24.04.25	Mladost - Kaštela	72:64 ✺
16.04.25	Kaštela - Mladost	87:66 ✺
13.04.25	Mladost - Zagreb	76:62 ✺
06.04.25	Hermes Zagreb - Mladost	64:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva Liga Basketball
16.02.25	Mladost - Samobor	94:88
02.11.24	Samobor - Mladost	99:91

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