Match Info

Proliga - Round 6

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques (São Paio de Gramaços)


	Sampaense		Illiabum

	1	2
	4.2	1.16
	3.91	1.15
	3.78	1.20	Watch
	3.98	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↑ (3.12)	1.18 ↓ (1.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaense
22.9%

Illiabum
77.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sampaense's form might have worsened.

Illiabum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Illiabum's recent form is better than expected.

Sampaense - Illiabum Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 70:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Arikawe T.	44. Caldeira S.
2. Banaru V.	7. Costa P.
22. Bastos M.	0. Ketner T.
1. Iyaye A.	10. Martinho J.
25. Quissanga S.	12. Neto H.
Substitutes
12. Abrantes P.	35. Alves D.
8. Goncalves D. (C)	9. Lopes P.
4. Marques A.	99. Marques A.
6. Silva A.	20. Martins J.
0. Silva G.	3. Rayquawndis M.
	14. Sico M. (C)
Coaches
. Figueiredo C.	. Fechas C.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sampaense won 0.

Sampaense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Illiabum is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Illiabum is the team to beat.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sampaense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 634:861. (average 63.4:86.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sampaense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 301:439. (average 60.2:87.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaense Basket
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
01.11.25	Casino Ginásio - Sampaense	76:69 ✺
25.10.25	Sampaense - Maia	67:79 ✺
11.10.25	Alianca Sangalhos - Sampaense	79:84 ✺
04.10.25	Sampaense - Lusitânia	82:74 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
27.09.25	Sampaense - Académica Coimbra	63:48 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWWW
- Illiabum Clube
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
01.11.25	Illiabum - Povoa	56:76 ✺
25.10.25	Alianca Sangalhos - Illiabum	76:101 ✺
19.10.25	Illiabum - Lusitânia	81:63 ✺
11.10.25	Académica Coimbra - Illiabum	46:76 ✺
04.10.25	Illiabum - Maia	87:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
04.01.25	Illiabum - Sampaense	87:75
09.11.24	Sampaense - Illiabum	56:94
06.01.24	Illiabum - Sampaense	88:57
28.10.23	Sampaense - Illiabum	63:84
28.01.23	Sampaense - Illiabum	56:98
26.11.22	Illiabum - Sampaense	78:60
28.05.21	Sampaense - Illiabum	53:76

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