Match Info

PHILIPPINES: Commissioners Cup

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday


	San Miguel Beermen		Meralco Bolts

	1	2
			Watch
	1.92	1.78	Watch
	1.85	1.94	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	1.85	1.89
	1.92	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.79)	1.82 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 198.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Miguel Beermen
48.7%

Meralco Bolts
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Miguel Beermen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Meralco Bolts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel Beermen than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meralco Bolts than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

San Miguel Beermen - Meralco Bolts Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 100:100

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Miguel Beermen won 2.

San Miguel Beermen is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Meralco Bolts is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

San Miguel Beermen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches San Miguel Beermen won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 1908:1885 (average 95.4:94.3).

Including matches at home between the teams San Miguel Beermen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 830:887 (average 92.2:98.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Miguel Beermen
EASL Basketball
15.01.25	San Miguel Beermen - Hong Kong Eastern Long Lions	74:84 ✺
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
12.01.25	Magnolia Hotshots - San Miguel Beermen	78:85 ✺
EASL Basketball
08.01.25	Hiroshima Dragonflies - San Miguel Beermen	94:63 ✺
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
05.01.25	San Miguel Beermen - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	81:93 ✺
22.12.24	Hong Kong Eastern Long Lions - San Miguel Beermen	99:91 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL
- Meralco Bolts
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
14.01.25	Meralco Bolts - NorthPort Batang Pier	111:94 ✺
10.01.25	NLEX Road Warriors - Meralco Bolts	91:105 ✺
07.01.25	Meralco Bolts - TNT Tropang 5G	99:101 ✺
05.01.25	Hong Kong Eastern Long Lions - Meralco Bolts	83:88 ✺
25.12.24	Meralco Bolts - Converge FiberXers	94:110 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Philippines Cup
16.06.24	Meralco Bolts - San Miguel Beermen	80:78
14.06.24	San Miguel Beermen - Meralco Bolts	88:92
12.06.24	Meralco Bolts - San Miguel Beermen	101:111
09.06.24	San Miguel Beermen - Meralco Bolts	89:93
07.06.24	Meralco Bolts - San Miguel Beermen	94:95
05.06.24	San Miguel Beermen - Meralco Bolts	86:93
04.05.24	San Miguel Beermen - Meralco Bolts	92:95

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