Match Info

Proliga - Losers stage - Round 12

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Pavilhao Municipal Padre Amadeu Pinto (Santo Andre)


	Santo André		Maia

	1	2
	1.48	2.4
	1.54	2.26	Watch
	1.46	2.41
			Watch
	1.57	2.31
	1.54	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.46)	2.33 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santo André
60.5%

Maia
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santo André has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Maia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santo André than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Santo André - Maia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:73

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Free B.	22. Boyd R.
8. Horta D.	3. Bumbalough L.
12. Lopes A. (C)	2. Magalhaes M.
11. Pereira H.	30. Oliveira S.
0. Quissanga S.	17. Santana M.
Substitutes
24. Araujo S.	12. Carrera Y.
15. Claro J.	5. Guerreiro J. (C)
18. Fernandes A.	26. Lauback K.
21. Fortunato P.	44. Machado P.
9. Oliveira J.	13. Nunes D.
3. Simoes R.	8. Santos T.
	9. Silva T.
Coaches
. Cruz A.	. Gomes R.

Preview

Santo André is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Maia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Santo André will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Santo André won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 221:237 (average 73.7:79).

Including matches at home between the teams Santo André won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 82:89

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC Santo André
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
16.04.25	Maia - Santo André	64:60 ✺
05.04.25	Clube Galitos - Santo André	83:79 ✺
30.03.25	Santo André - Lusitânia	70:74 ✺
22.03.25	Casino Ginásio - Santo André	93:95 ✺
15.03.25	Santo André - Benfica B	50:56 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWL
- Maia Basket
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
16.04.25	Maia - Santo André	64:60 ✺
05.04.25	Maia - Benfica B	71:65 ✺
29.03.25	Clube Galitos - Maia	71:77 ✺
22.03.25	Sampaense - Maia	96:72 ✺
16.03.25	Maia - Lusitânia	93:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
16.04.25	Maia - Santo André	64:60
29.03.24	Maia - Santo André	84:79
02.03.24	Santo André - Maia	82:89 OT

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