Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 5

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	19:00	DAZN
Finland	20:00	DAZN
Sweden	19:00	DAZN


	Saudi Arabia		Lebanon

	1	2
	4.2	1.2	Watch
	4.00	1.22
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.83	1.21
	4.02	1.21	Watch
	3.75	1.19
	3.95	1.23
	4.2	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (2.24)	1.21 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saudi Arabia
23.3%

Lebanon
76.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saudi Arabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saudi Arabia's form might have worsened.

Lebanon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lebanon's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Saudi Arabia - Lebanon Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Saudi Arabia will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Lebanon will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saudi Arabia: 59% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Saudi Arabia will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Abdel Gabar K. (C) Al Ahli	24. Gyokchyan H. Al-Riyadi
5. Abdur-Rahkman M. Treviso	1. Jamaleddine O. Brave Thunders
15. Al Mohamed H. Al Salam	3. Majok A. Ville de Dakar
12. Al Suwailem M. AlUla	10. Mansour A. Al-Riyadi
99. Kadi M. Al Nasr	5. Saoud A. (C) Al-Riyadi
Substitutes
0. Albargawi O. Al Ittihad	0. Alkhoury M.
6. Al Marwani M. Al Ittihad	9. El Darwich S. Sendai
7. Al Sager M.	15. Elkhatib J.
24. Al Salem M. Al Ittihad	34. Hadidian G. Tadamon Zouk
25. Alsharif M. Al Ahli	8. Khalil J. Sagesse Al Hekmeh Beirut
35. Mohammed T. Al Nasr	25. Mezher A. Akita
20. Shubayli A. Al Ahli	7. Zeinoun K. Al-Riyadi
Coaches
. Alsanhani A.	. El Farran A.

Preview

In this match, Lebanon is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Saudi Arabia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 192:265. (average 64:88.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saudi Arabia basketball
World Championship Basketball
29.06.26	Qatar - Saudi Arabia	80:86
27.02.26	Lebanon - Saudi Arabia	94:64 ✺
30.11.25	India - Saudi Arabia	57:81 ✺
27.11.25	Saudi Arabia - India	75:51 ✺
Asia Cup Basketball
11.08.25	Saudi Arabia - Philippines	88:95 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLWWL
- Lebanon basketball
World Championship Basketball
29.06.26	Lebanon - India	99:56
27.02.26	Lebanon - Saudi Arabia	94:64 ✺
30.11.25	Lebanon - Qatar	83:86 ✺
27.11.25	Qatar - Lebanon	74:75 ✺
Asia Cup Basketball
14.08.25	New Zealand - Lebanon	90:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
27.02.26	Lebanon - Saudi Arabia	94:64
04.07.22	Lebanon - Saudi Arabia	90:60
27.02.22	Saudi Arabia - Lebanon	68:81

Saudi Arabia - Lebanon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide