Match Info

EuroBasket - Round 1

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Xiaomi Arena (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Denmark	DAZN
Finland	Ruutu+
France	beIN Sports 1
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Italy	DAZN Italia
Serbia	Sportklub
Slovakia	STVR Sport
Slovenia	Sportklub
Sweden	DAZN


	Serbia		Estonia

	1	2
			Watch
	1	17	Watch
	1.01	25	Watch
	1.01	30.92
			Watch
	1.01	17
	1.01	15.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 ↓ (1.02)	21.08 ↑ (19.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-31)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serbia
95.4%

Estonia
4.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

95%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serbia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Estonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Serbia - Estonia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Serbia will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Estonia will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Serbia: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Serbia (votes: 4 - 50%). Estonia (votes: 4 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 160.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -35.5, OT - Serbia (2.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 82.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Serbia (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Estonia (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 102:71

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Avramovic A. Dubai	0. Drell H. Tenerife
7. Bogdanovic B. (C) Los Angeles Clippers	21. Joesaar J. Dziki Warszawa
15. Jokic N. Denver Nuggets	34. Konontsuk A. Oldenburg
5. Jovic N. Miami Heat	77. Kullamae K. Bilbao
3. Petrusev F. Dubai	9. Tass M. Oostende
Substitutes
13. Dobric O. Crvena zvezda	13. Hermet K. BC Kalev/Cramo
23. Guduric M. Fenerbahce	7. Jurkatamm M. Avellino Basket
24. Jovic S. Valencia	2. Raieste S. Saski Baskonia
9. Marinkovic V. Partizan	25. Riismaa J. Cantu
22. Micic V. Phoenix Suns	1. Rosenthal M. Ostrow Wielkopolski
33. Milutinov N. Olympiacos Piraeus	3. Treier K. Basket Napoli
11. Vukcevic T. Washington Wizards	11. Vene S. (C) Ostrow Wielkopolski
Coaches
. Pesic S.	. Rannula H.

Preview

Serbia has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Estonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Serbia is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Serbia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 330:287. (average 82.5:71.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serbia basketball
Friendly International Basketball
21.08.25	Serbia - Slovenia	106:72 ✺
DBB Supercup
16.08.25	Germany - Serbia	81:91 ✺
15.08.25	Serbia - Czech Republic	113:84 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
10.08.25	Cyprus - Serbia	55:122 ✺
09.08.25	Greece - Serbia	66:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWWWW
- Estonia basketball
Friendly International Basketball
22.08.25	Estonia - Great Britain	62:72 ✺
20.08.25	Sweden - Estonia	87:88 ✺
01.08.25	Lithuania - Estonia	89:68 ✺
EuroBasket
24.02.25	Lithuania - Estonia	82:75 ✺
21.02.25	Estonia - North Macedonia	84:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
21.02.19	Estonia - Serbia	71:70
16.09.18	Serbia - Estonia	91:65
EuroBasket
08.09.12	Estonia - Serbia	88:81
24.08.12	Serbia - Estonia	88:63

Serbia - Estonia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide