Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 3

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Avicii Arena (Stockholm)


	Sweden		Estonia

	1	2
	2.2	1.61	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.26	1.59
	2.22	1.63	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.21	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.81)	1.61 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sweden
42%

Estonia
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sweden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sweden's form might have worsened.

Estonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estonia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	0%	89.5%

Sweden - Estonia Predictions

Users Predictions: Estonia will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Estonia will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andersson D. Obradoiro CAB	21. Joesaar J. KK Bosna
5. Falk W. Murcia	34. Konontsuk A. Bursaspor Durmazlar
12. Hakanson L. (C) Joventut Badalona	77. Kullamae K. (C) Lietkabelis
19. Pantzar M. J. Bilbao	2. Raieste S. Murcia
11. Pohto K. Nevezis	9. Tass M. SK Legia Warszawa
Substitutes
27. Bangala Z. Mechelen	0. Drell H. Joventut Badalona
6. Borg T. Palencia	13. Hermet K. Dijon
23. Hampton P. Norrkoping Dolphins	8. Kirves M. BC Jonava
77. Hansson G. BC Lulea	99. Lips K. Tartu Ulikool
2. Ramstedt A. Gottingen	25. Riismaa J. Derthona Tortona
16. Spires N.	18. Suurorg K. Trefl Sopot
8. Terins F. Tizona Burgos	3. Treier K. Basket Napoli
Coaches
. Riipinen M.	. Rannula H.

Preview

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sweden won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 327:319. (average 81.8:79.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sweden basketball
World Championship Basketball
01.12.25	Sweden - Slovenia	83:94 ✺
28.11.25	Czech Republic - Sweden	100:80 ✺
EuroBasket
06.09.25	Turkey - Sweden	85:79 ✺
03.09.25	Lithuania - Sweden	74:71 ✺
01.09.25	Sweden - Montenegro	81:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Estonia basketball
World Championship Basketball
01.12.25	Estonia - Czech Republic	92:97 ✺
28.11.25	Slovenia - Estonia	93:94 OT ✺
EuroBasket
03.09.25	Estonia - Portugal	65:68 ✺
01.09.25	Estonia - Turkey	64:84 ✺
30.08.25	Czech Republic - Estonia	75:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Basketball
20.08.25	Sweden - Estonia	87:88
World Championship Basketball
27.02.23	Sweden - Estonia	71:72
11.11.22	Estonia - Sweden	82:87
Friendly International Basketball
26.07.17	Sweden - Estonia	82:77

Sweden - Estonia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide