Match Info
WORLD: WORLD CUPDate: 1 September 2023, FridayLocation: Smart Araneta Coliseum (Manila)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Germany | Magenta Sport |
Greece | Nova Sports |
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Serbia |
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Italy |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 172.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
- The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Serbia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Serbia's performance.Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Italy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serbia than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Serbia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Italy than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Italy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Serbia - Italy Predictions
Users Predictions:
Serbia will win
(26 of 27 users predict this - 96.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.18% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:82 
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Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Serbia won 2. Serbia in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5). Italy is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4). In this match Serbia is a favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Serbia won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1172-1064.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;